Ben Gutenberg Memorial SYC - RJCC

Y-12 Women's Saber

Sunday, October 19, 2025 at 12:30 PM

Golisano Training Center at Nazareth University - Rochester, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 OSMINKINA-JONES Kai 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 85%
2 LI Tira 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
3 NEMORIN Rei 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
3 CHAM Morgan 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 3%
5 VARAH Alaia 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
6 BINSHTOK Ariana 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
7 LIU Alyssa 100% 100% 94% 70% 31% 6%
8 TSIPORUKHA Arie 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
9 WILLER Anna 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 8%
10 MACHIRAJU Ishita 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
11 ZHANG Nikki 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
12 GUERVILLE Angelique 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8% -
13 ZHANG Shihan 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 10%
14 KABILING Anika Von Marie 100% 99% 91% 65% 25% 2%
15 YI Victoria 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 10% 1%
16 CHEN Chloe 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
17 ARGUELLO Camilla 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7% -
18 AN Jasmine 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1%
19 KWAN Kelly 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1%
20 ONG Katherine 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 2%
21 LAMTAN Trinity 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 30% 2%
22 MEINING CHLOE 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% -
23 HU Emily 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
24 ARANGO Ivanna 100% 86% 50% 18% 3% -
25 FREY Elise 100% 97% 78% 43% 13% 2%
26 ATA Emily 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
27 BAO Amelia 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
28 LEE Elise 100% 100% 93% 66% 26% 4%
29 GARCIA RODRIGUEZ Victoria Maria 100% 96% 67% 26% 5% -
30 KRITZ Sofia 100% 96% 75% 40% 11% 1%
31 YANG Jackie 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1% -
32 KONDE Anika 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4% -
33 YAO Elizabeth 100% 89% 53% 17% 3% -
33 XU Isabella 100% 99% 84% 46% 13% 1%
35 LI Gloria 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1% -
36 DAYNO Riley 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2% -
37 YANG Maggie 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2%
38 RADELL Zoe 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1%
39 PURITZ Morgan 100% 65% 24% 5% - -
40 RIFKIN Talia 100% 75% 35% 10% 1% - -
41 SADHU Mira 100% 29% 4% - - -
42 MINNICK Ciara 100% 99% 90% 58% 20% 3%
42 PAVONY Arya 100% 57% 16% 2% - -
44 HE Peggy 100% 90% 60% 25% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.