TFC October Fence-a-thon

Y-8 Mixed Foil

Sunday, October 19, 2025 at 10:00 AM

The Fencing Center of San Jose - San Jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TAN Austin 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
2 SURENDRA Nivan 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1%
3 ISAAC Felicity 100% 77% 23% 3% - < 1%
3 XU Evan 100% 89% 58% 24% 5% -
5 CHEN Bennett 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% 1% -
6 GUAN Angie 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
7 HO Karsten 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
8 HSU Justin 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 37% 7%
9 MIAO Aria 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 2%
10 KIM Blaire 100% 100% 99% 86% 42% 5%
11 CAO Yinuo 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
12 RUAN Alexander 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 8% 1%
13 LU Jocelyn 100% 100% 88% 51% 14% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.