TFC October Fence-a-thon

Senior Mixed Foil

Sunday, October 19, 2025 at 1:00 PM

The Fencing Center of San Jose - San Jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 HE Gary - 1% 8% 29% 41% 20%
2 SHU Eric 1% 9% 31% 38% 18% 3%
3 REN Muyao 7% 32% 38% 19% 4% -
3 TSAI Finley - 2% 12% 32% 38% 15%
5 LI Austin 1% 7% 26% 41% 23% 3%
6 JOESUF Aurielle 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1%
7 BAUMAN Nicholas 16% 42% 33% 8% 1% -
8 CHEUNG Henry - 9% 31% 38% 18% 3%
9 JOESUF Hendry - 8% 30% 38% 20% 4%
10 PALTA Sanaya 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
11 CHAN Michelangelo < 1% 6% 25% 39% 25% 5%
12 MERRIGAN Annabelle 59% 35% 6% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.