TFC October Fence-a-thon

Senior Mixed Foil

Sunday, October 19, 2025 at 1:00 PM

The Fencing Center of San Jose - San Jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 HE Gary 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
2 SHU Eric 100% 99% 90% 59% 21% 3%
3 REN Muyao 100% 93% 61% 23% 4% -
3 TSAI Finley 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 15%
5 LI Austin 100% 99% 93% 67% 26% 3%
6 JOESUF Aurielle 100% 96% 73% 36% 10% 1%
7 BAUMAN Nicholas 100% 84% 41% 9% 1% -
8 CHEUNG Henry 100% 100% 91% 59% 21% 3%
9 JOESUF Hendry 100% 100% 92% 62% 24% 4%
10 PALTA Sanaya 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 5%
11 CHAN Michelangelo 100% 100% 94% 69% 30% 5%
12 MERRIGAN Annabelle 100% 41% 7% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.