Portland Fall RYC

Y-12 Women's Foil

Sunday, October 19, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Northwest Fencing Center - Tigard, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JIANG Ziqing - - - 3% 17% 42% 37%
2 NAKAZATO Olivia 1% 8% 28% 37% 21% 4%
3 SMIRNOV Victoria - 4% 18% 37% 32% 10%
3 NAKAZATO Isabella - - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
5 LIU Anya - - 1% 8% 27% 42% 23%
6 KIM Olivia - 4% 17% 33% 31% 12% 2%
7 KIM Ellen - - 3% 17% 37% 32% 10%
8 WU Allison - 1% 9% 29% 40% 20%
9 MORENO Josefina - 1% 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
10 JIANG Ziqi 5% 26% 40% 23% 6% 1% -
11 KUO Liang-Jun 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
12 ZHENG Joanna 9% 35% 37% 16% 3% -
13 YOUN Davina - 3% 16% 36% 32% 12% 2%
14 PENG Yuewei 44% 40% 13% 2% - -
15 FITCH Abigail 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
16 PENG Yuerui 22% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
17 HEWES Sierra 11% 37% 36% 13% 2% - -
18 JIANG Katherine - 5% 19% 35% 29% 10% 1%
19 MERRIMAN Evalyn 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
20 LIU Cindy 40% 43% 15% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.