Portland Fall RYC

Y-12 Women's Foil

Sunday, October 19, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Northwest Fencing Center - Tigard, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JIANG Ziqing 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
2 NAKAZATO Olivia 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 4%
3 SMIRNOV Victoria 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 10%
3 NAKAZATO Isabella 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 9%
5 LIU Anya 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
6 KIM Olivia 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 14% 2%
7 KIM Ellen 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 10%
8 WU Allison 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 20%
9 MORENO Josefina 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 8%
10 JIANG Ziqi 100% 95% 69% 29% 6% 1% -
11 KUO Liang-Jun 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
12 ZHENG Joanna 100% 91% 56% 20% 3% -
13 YOUN Davina 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 13% 2%
14 PENG Yuewei 100% 56% 15% 2% - -
15 FITCH Abigail 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
16 PENG Yuerui 100% 78% 38% 10% 2% - -
17 HEWES Sierra 100% 89% 51% 16% 2% - -
18 JIANG Katherine 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 11% 1%
19 MERRIMAN Evalyn 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1% -
20 LIU Cindy 100% 60% 17% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.