October Friday Night Fencing

Senior Mixed Épée

Friday, October 24, 2025 at 7:00 PM

Indianapolis Fencing Club - Noblesville, IN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 PAMERLEAU Ian - - 1% 8% 41% 50%
2 CARDENAS Nathan A. - - 1% 11% 38% 50%
3 WINGET William (Bill) D. - < 1% 2% 17% 56% 25%
3 GUILFORD Corey - 2% 14% 44% 40%
5 KRAVCENKO Nikita 1% 9% 31% 38% 18% 3%
6 YANG Leo 1% 16% 44% 32% 6% -
7 MCNARY Ross 1% 9% 37% 42% 11% 1%
8 ZALPURI Zorin 1% 58% 36% 6% - -
9 YANG Junhu 36% 54% 10% 1% < 1%
10 MYERS Lewis 1% 9% 29% 38% 20% 3%
11 VANCE Sam 2% 37% 43% 16% 2%
12 CLEMMER-BECHT Elise 11% 36% 36% 14% 2% -
13 BOCKSTAHLER Nathan 1% 11% 39% 40% 9%
14 TAYLOR Joseph 2% 19% 41% 30% 8% 1%
15 FRAGODT Chance 76% 22% 2% - - -
16 EVANS Drake 6% 32% 42% 18% 1%
17 ASHER Maxx 17% 44% 31% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.