Event Results
October Friday Night FencingSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | PAMERLEAU Ian | V V V V V | V V V V | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| 2 | CARDENAS Nathan A. | V V V V V | V V V D | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| 3 | WINGET William (Bill) D. | D D D V D | V V D | 4.0 | 1 | -3.0 |
| 3 | GUILFORD Corey | V V V D | V V D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 5 | KRAVCENKO Nikita | V V V V D | V D | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 |
| 6 | YANG Leo | V D V V D | V D | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| 7 | MCNARY Ross | D V V D V | V D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 8 | ZALPURI Zorin | V V D D D | V D | 1.5 | 2 | +0.5 |
| 9 | YANG Junhu | V V V V | D | 0.8 | 4 | +3.2 |
| 10 | MYERS Lewis | V D D V V | D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 11 | VANCE Sam | D D V V | D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 12 | CLEMMER-BECHT Elise | D V D D V | D | 1.5 | 2 | +0.5 |
| 13 | BOCKSTAHLER Nathan | D V D D | D | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| 14 | TAYLOR Joseph | D D V D D | D | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| 15 | FRAGODT Chance | D D D D V | D | 0.3 | 1 | +0.7 |
| 16 | EVANS Drake | D D D D | V D | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
| 17 | ASHER Maxx | D D D D D | D | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |