Thrust Fall RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Saturday, October 25, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College (Eugene Levy Field House) - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MOKRETSOV Leah - - - - 6% 33% 61%
2 QI Chelsie - - 3% 16% 38% 34% 9%
3 PATEL Aria - 3% 16% 37% 32% 11% 1%
5 ZHANG Ashley - - - 2% 12% 38% 47%
6 LEE Nicole - - 4% 19% 40% 31% 5%
7 CHEN Reina - 3% 15% 32% 35% 15%
8 SIU Mila 2% 12% 32% 36% 17% 1%
9 CHOI Elina - 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4%
10 TANG Jacquelyn 1% 7% 24% 39% 25% 4%
11 VILLER Alice - - 1% 7% 24% 40% 28%
12 OZALP Tara 2% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% -
13 YIN Elaine - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
14 FURMAN Elizabeth - - 2% 13% 39% 46%
15 HAN Emma - - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
16 YUSHCHENKO Ivanka - 2% 12% 29% 35% 18% 3%
17 CHEN Laila - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 22%
18 AINSWORTH Esme - 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 8%
19 SELASSIE Semara 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1%
20 LIU Brinley - - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
21 CHALLAMEL Heloise 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
22 KIM Charlotte 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
23 YOUNG Penelope 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5% -
24 KIM Abigail - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
25 DOROSHKEVICH Maria 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
26 WANG Katherine 1% 9% 29% 39% 20% 4% -
27 PATEL Agena - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 2%
28 GURTIN Sasha 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
29 WU Caroline 10% 34% 36% 17% 3% - -
30 ERATA Selena 5% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
31 LEE Zoe 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 8%
32 ZHAO Rachel - 1% 5% 23% 42% 26% 4%
33 BOUTSIKARIS Asha 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
34 SALUBRO Vivianna 1% 7% 25% 35% 24% 7% 1%
35 LI Kayla - 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 4%
36 RODRIGUEZ Ivy - 6% 22% 34% 27% 10% 1%
37 MAO Faith 1% 9% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
38 SHEN Sophia 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1%
39 KUO Stella 3% 18% 35% 31% 12% 1%
40 LUO MAOSHUEN 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
41 BONDE Trisha 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1% -
42 JIN Serena 6% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1%
43 CHOI Noah 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
44 KANDHI Aryaa - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 1%
45 VENKATESH Uma 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 2%
46 SALIBA Madison 4% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1%
47 YOON Michelle 9% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
48 XIE ANDREA - - 3% 12% 30% 37% 18%
49 MERHEJ Lea - 3% 15% 31% 33% 15% 2%
50 LEE Zerah 9% 33% 38% 17% 3% - -
51 BONTHAPALLY Maitreyee S. 12% 33% 35% 16% 3% -
52 LI Juliana - 3% 15% 31% 32% 15% 3%
53 LUO MAOMAO 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
53 CHOI Serine 44% 41% 13% 2% - - -
55 MISHIMA Quinn 9% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
56 CARACCIOLO Emma 22% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
57 GRECO Athena 10% 30% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
58 MARGAGLIONE Veronica 5% 25% 41% 23% 5% - -
59 ZHU Kaylee 37% 43% 17% 3% - - -
60 LATORRE Alexa 10% 35% 37% 15% 3% - -
61 GORDON Winter 8% 28% 35% 22% 6% 1%
62 CAMPOS Elena 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
63 MERHEJ Liv 14% 36% 33% 14% 2% -
64 WILLIAMS Valentina 33% 44% 20% 3% - - -
65 LUNDH Penelope 1% 11% 31% 36% 18% 3%
66 DARMAWAN Thea 17% 37% 30% 12% 3% - -
67 VENGERTSEVA Margaret < 1% 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
68 YULO Jamie 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.