Thrust Fall RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Saturday, October 25, 2025 at 11:00 AM

Rockland Community College (Eugene Levy Field House) - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KOREN George 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 42%
2 TERENTIEV Michael 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 11%
3 MOTOV Max 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 11%
3 LI Lucas 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
5 LIM JUWANA Maximilian 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
6 ZALETAEV Jacob 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 20%
7 NARAYAN Rishi 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 9%
8 PARK Layne 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 4%
9 MOGUNOV Alan 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 10%
10 HU Simon 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
11 MARTIRE Francis 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 5%
12 CIECIEREGA MATTHEW 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
13 PARK Sean 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 14%
14 BURNS Carson 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 2%
15 RISMAN Edward 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 7%
16 WANG Russell 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
17 ZHANG Howard 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 10%
18 O'KEEFE Brody 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
19 MAKLIN David 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 21% 3%
20 LEE Shane Gunn 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
21 SOLEJ Miles 100% 100% 98% 82% 46% 11%
22 CHEN Ryan 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 6%
23 IP Hunter 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
24 SABINO Bennett 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 3%
25 KRISHNARASA Aiyann 100% 100% 93% 66% 28% 5%
26 LI Anton 100% 98% 83% 52% 19% 3%
27 LLOYD Max 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 14%
28 BORNHOLZ Lawrence 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
29 LI Felix 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% - -
30 KNOBEL Benjamin 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 3%
31 BLACK Bennett 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2%
32 ZHANG Mark 100% 99% 93% 67% 30% 7% -
33 FAZELINIA Erfaan 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 16% 2%
34 FRANTZ Ken 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 10%
35 CONSTANTINE Leonidas 100% 96% 77% 41% 13% 2% -
36 KATZ Isaac 100% 88% 52% 18% 3% - -
37 PALERMO Evan 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
38 URTUBI Sebastian 100% 99% 86% 55% 20% 3%
39 SUH Jordan 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
40 HUANG KIMBALL 100% 91% 58% 21% 4% -
41 HAMM Bennett 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 9% 1%
42 YU Dylan 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 8%
43 TO Aiden 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 29% 5%
44 PATEL Rohan 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 4%
45 FERNAINE Thomas 100% 96% 72% 36% 10% 2% -
46 FUNG Emerson 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% -
47 ZHAO Alexander 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
48 LEE Augustine 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% 1% -
49 ADOLPHUS March 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
50 ZHANG Leon 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 4%
51 VINCENT Yian 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
52 WANG Harrison 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 7%
53 BROOKS Grant 100% 96% 71% 33% 8% 1%
53 ROBLES Rafael 100% 89% 46% 12% 2% -
55 LUI Vincent 100% 60% 18% 3% - -
56 KULJIEV Boyan 100% 98% 85% 50% 16% 2%
56 CENEDELLA Izaac 100% 63% 22% 4% - -
58 PARROCO Jacob 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2%
59 LI-CHUA Theodore 100% 38% 6% - - -
60 LEIGH Anthony 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
61 KIM Colin 100% 98% 82% 49% 18% 3% -
62 BELTRAN-PRATS Enzo 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
63 MIRZA Arhum 100% 87% 47% 14% 2% - -
64 OLSON Prescott 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
65 CHEN Tyler 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% -
66 CHOI Dylan 100% 75% 29% 6% 1% - -
67 VITALE NIKO 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% -
68 XU Jayden 100% 46% 10% 1% - -
69 LEE Lucas 100% 67% 24% 4% - - -
70 HO Alexander 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% - -
71 UPBIN Matthew 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.