Thrust Fall RYC/RJCC

Y-10 Men's Épée

Saturday, October 25, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Rockland Community College (Eugene Levy Field House) - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIU FREDERICK 100% 99% 90% 62% 23% 2%
2 YIN Xiangheng 100% 99% 84% 42% 8%
3 IVANOV Andrew 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 9%
3 LU Shawn 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 51%
5 SALA John 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% < 1%
6 BEZRODNOV Artemi 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 3%
7 NG Remy 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 30% 6%
8 ADEN Xiyan 100% 66% 25% 5% 1% -
9 SALIBA Jackson 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2%
10 LUO Sebastian 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 3%
11 SHABASHOV Roman 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
13 CAVALLARO Xavier 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% -
14 SHABBIR Mohammad Amaan 100% 86% 50% 16% 2% -
15 LAW Benjamin 100% 92% 61% 24% 5% -
16 NAYAR Kabir 100% 100% 91% 59% 23% 5% -
17 CHEN Samuel 100% 85% 40% 9% 1%
18 MAK Nolan 100% 90% 59% 24% 6% 1% -
19 LEE Derek 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
20 HONG Evan 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
21 KASHIRSKIY Chris 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
22 ZHANG Mason 100% 100% 99% 92% 72% 38% 9%
23 KO Caden 100% 99% 86% 46% 9%
24 TANG David 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
25 SELOT Arjun 100% 100% 95% 75% 35% 5%
26 GU Charles 100% 100% 99% 87% 46%
27 LAM-DANBACK Zachary 100% 50% 11% 1% -
28 FLORES Gabriel 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2%
29 LEE Zachariah 100% 68% 26% 5% 1% -
29 ZHU Peter 100% 87% 51% 17% 2% -
31 AINSWORTH Rhys 100% 94% 71% 37% 11% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.