Thrust Fall RYC/RJCC

Cadet Men's Saber

Saturday, October 25, 2025 at 4:00 PM

Rockland Community College (Eugene Levy Field House) - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KHANNA Adamantis 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 39%
2 CHAMBERS Miles 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
3 WAXLER Ryan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 46%
3 MERMEGAS Alexander 100% 100% 99% 87% 52% 16% 2%
5 AROUNA Ilan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 61% 16%
6 WANG Theodore 100% 99% 93% 67% 27% 4%
7 JI Johnson 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 21%
8 HU Jayden 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 37% 7%
9 AGARWAAL Yohan 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 27%
10 NOVOSYOLOK Zachary 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 51%
11 MELE Gianni 100% 100% 94% 70% 28% 3%
12 BERKOWITZ Gavin 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 55% 17%
13 LIU Eric 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 4%
14 ZHAO Royce 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 45%
15 LIANG Morgan 100% 100% 99% 86% 51% 15% 1%
16 KHOTLINE Daniel 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 11%
17 LEVY Jack 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 39% 6%
18 DAI Zihou 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
19 SHEYNZON Benjamin 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 3%
20 WU Timothy 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 16%
21 SONG Aidan 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 7%
22 BELAND Riley James "RJ" 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 62% 16%
23 ZHANG Simon 100% 99% 90% 53% 17% 2% -
23 ZWAKA Jonas 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 15%
25 WAXLER Alex 100% 99% 87% 51% 16% 2% -
26 LIU Ryan 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 7%
27 EKONG-REID Severian 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
28 SADHU Neiyam 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
29 CUSSON William 100% 97% 75% 31% 5% - -
30 KENNEDY Tomás 100% 99% 84% 45% 12% 1%
31 LEVIN Jacob 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4%
32 DOSTAL Maximilian 100% 99% 91% 63% 23% 2%
33 SWIFT Owen 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 22%
34 TRZEPLA Max 100% 99% 87% 57% 22% 4%
35 LAMTAN Christoffer 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
36 WASCO Andrew 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 8%
37 CHENG Sawyer 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6%
38 SUH Leo 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 22% 4%
39 NARDINI Nathanael P. 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 11%
40 PARK Inwoo 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 14%
41 TITOV Zachary 100% 98% 83% 45% 12% 1%
42 WELSTEAD Nicholas 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 3%
43 LI Michael 100% 97% 75% 37% 10% 1%
44 LIEU Nicholas 100% 99% 92% 64% 24% 4% -
44 TANJGA Luka 100% 89% 50% 14% 2% - -
46 SHARMA Colin 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23% 3%
47 LIEBOWITZ Carson 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 20% 2%
48 WU Vincent 100% 99% 93% 65% 26% 5% -
49 MATTOO Dhruv 100% 98% 84% 48% 14% 2%
50 SO Morgan 100% 94% 70% 35% 11% 2% -
51 ZHENG Lucas 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
52 BENNETT Lachlan 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
53 PERRY Xander 100% 84% 43% 11% 1% -
54 SPENCER-EL Elijah 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
55 LEIGH Brayden 100% 99% 91% 58% 16% 2% -
56 BURENKOV Matthew 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 6% -
57 SUBA Mason 100% 94% 70% 35% 11% 2% -
58 MAGITSKY Isaac 100% 86% 45% 12% 2% -
59 HE Nolan 100% 81% 33% 6% 1% -
61 MARTINSON Torm 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
62 ZHIVICH Theo 100% 74% 27% 4% - - -
63 RAGHUNANDAN Evan 100% 79% 33% 6% - - -
64 LEISTNER Armin 100% 52% 14% 2% - -
65 KOREN David 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
66 STEWART Samuel 100% 89% 58% 24% 5% 1% -
67 DAI Ethan 100% 80% 27% 4% - - -
68 LEE Jeffrey 100% 41% 8% 1% - -
69 CHIANG Ethan 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
70 MARSHQUIST Miles 100% 64% 20% 3% - -
71 LI Kent 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
72 GAO Francis 100% 95% 69% 29% 6% - -
73 AWAD Omar 100% 85% 50% 17% 3% - -
74 LAU Kyrus 100% 100% 93% 67% 30% 6%
75 CONNOLLY Edward Bud 100% 61% 18% 2% - -
76 DY Azriel 100% 61% 18% 3% - - -
77 CHIN Adrian 100% 54% 12% 1% - -
78 PATEL Kiran 100% 61% 16% 2% - - -
79 HE Eric 100% 63% 18% 2% - - -
80 RINGEL Kian 100% 42% 6% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.