The University of Michigan Open

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, October 25, 2025 at 7:45 AM

Sports Coliseum - Ann Arbor, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 LI Peizhen (Daniel) - 1% 8% 28% 41% 22%
2 PECKENS Tyler - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
3 BOLAKOWSKI John M. - 4% 23% 43% 25% 5%
3 GOODMAN Jason M. - - 6% 27% 46% 21%
5 BERTRAND Matthew T. 1% 7% 28% 45% 19%
6 ADAMISIN Brayden - 3% 19% 44% 34%
7 BECHLER Connor N. 1% 6% 25% 41% 23% 4%
8 WILLIAMS Brian 1% 12% 42% 34% 11% 1%
9 BECKER Thomas - - 4% 20% 44% 32%
10 METZ Evan 24% 45% 25% 6% -
11 BAKKE Alexander 3% 37% 42% 16% 2% -
12 HAIRABEDIAN Loic 8% 36% 37% 15% 3% -
13 SCOTT Fredric 2% 22% 45% 26% 5% -
14 DEBACK Maximus (Max) X. 15% 39% 34% 11% 1%
15 ABUSUNDUS Ahmed 80% 18% 1% - - -
16 HSIEH Henry 7% 41% 42% 10% 1%
17 KOCSIS Cherry 49% 38% 11% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.