The University of Michigan Open

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, October 25, 2025 at 7:45 AM

Sports Coliseum - Ann Arbor, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 LI Peizhen (Daniel) 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
2 PECKENS Tyler 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
3 BOLAKOWSKI John M. 100% 100% 96% 73% 30% 5%
3 GOODMAN Jason M. 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 21%
5 BERTRAND Matthew T. 100% 99% 93% 65% 19%
6 ADAMISIN Brayden 100% 100% 97% 78% 34%
7 BECHLER Connor N. 100% 99% 93% 68% 27% 4%
8 WILLIAMS Brian 100% 99% 87% 46% 12% 1%
9 BECKER Thomas 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 32%
10 METZ Evan 100% 76% 31% 6% -
11 BAKKE Alexander 100% 97% 60% 18% 2% -
12 HAIRABEDIAN Loic 100% 92% 56% 18% 3% -
13 SCOTT Fredric 100% 98% 76% 31% 6% -
14 DEBACK Maximus (Max) X. 100% 85% 46% 13% 1%
15 ABUSUNDUS Ahmed 100% 20% 1% - - -
16 HSIEH Henry 100% 93% 53% 11% 1%
17 KOCSIS Cherry 100% 51% 13% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.