The University of Michigan Open

Senior Mixed Saber

Saturday, October 25, 2025 at 1:45 PM

Sports Coliseum - Ann Arbor, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 ZHANG Mengyuan 1% 12% 36% 38% 13%
2 WU Benjamin (Ben) - - 3% 18% 44% 35%
3 GUO Brian 12% 39% 36% 12% 2% < 1%
3 WU Stephen 1% 8% 31% 42% 19%
5 WHAPHAM Mark 1% 16% 44% 34% 5%
6 DENG Kenny 1% 31% 44% 20% 3%
7 WELHAM Charlie - 5% 25% 45% 25%
8 JONES Troy 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
9 RICKERT Michael A. 1% 10% 32% 40% 17%
10 OXIE Matthew 7% 33% 41% 17% 2%
11 WANG Zijie 1% 9% 33% 39% 16% 2%
12 SCHLEGELMILCH Tod 2% 13% 33% 35% 15% 2%
13 WALKER Amanda 19% 43% 30% 7% 1%
14 WU Audrey 11% 34% 36% 16% 3%
15 LEE Angela 28% 42% 24% 6% 1% -
16 HIRSCH Lauren 61% 34% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.