River City Regional Rumble RYC/RJCC/Y8

Cadet Men's Saber

Saturday, October 25, 2025 at 12:00 PM

Richmond Convention Center - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	YI Andrew	-	-	2%	11%	30%	38%	19%
2	PERRIN Leo	-	-	3%	14%	33%	36%	14%
3	BALU Aedan	-	-	1%	8%	27%	41%	22%
3	MOON Noah	1%	6%	21%	34%	27%	10%	1%
5	FENG Brendan	-	-	-	1%	12%	40%	47%
6	HALL Noah	-	-	3%	14%	34%	36%	14%
7	HENRY Cadel	-	1%	5%	20%	35%	30%	9%
8	QIN toby	-	1%	8%	29%	43%	19%
9	SLAVNOV Anton	-	-	2%	12%	31%	38%	16%
10	KANE Kiran	1%	11%	34%	37%	15%	2%
11	D'AMELJ Edoardo	-	1%	7%	27%	43%	23%
12	BENE Andrew	-	1%	8%	25%	37%	24%	6%
13	ORIE Sohan	1%	5%	20%	34%	28%	11%	2%
14	BREUER Daniel	-	-	4%	20%	45%	31%
15	BROOKS Theo	-	3%	15%	33%	33%	14%	2%
16	ALLEN Asa	1%	7%	23%	34%	26%	8%	1%
17	BUKZIN Alan	-	-	3%	16%	37%	35%	9%
18	YEAZEL Colin	1%	10%	36%	37%	15%	2%
19	CHAWLA Abhishek	-	2%	12%	31%	37%	17%	2%
20	LIU Jayden	-	1%	11%	33%	39%	15%
21	BRAMLETT Myer	-	5%	20%	37%	28%	8%	1%
22	LIAO Sirui	-	5%	19%	34%	29%	11%	2%
23	GOLART Dylan	6%	24%	35%	25%	9%	1%	-
24	JAVIER Xavier	1%	9%	25%	34%	23%	7%	1%
25	HOWERTON Beckett	2%	17%	38%	30%	11%	2%	-
26	BENE Paul	-	3%	20%	40%	30%	7%
27	BROOKS Isaac	4%	24%	40%	26%	6%	1%
28	HEIMOV Brennan	12%	46%	32%	9%	1%	-
29	WANG Ziyao	3%	24%	41%	25%	6%	-
30	MOORE Blaise	8%	28%	35%	21%	6%	1%	-
31	XIONG Robert	14%	37%	34%	13%	2%	-	-
32	GRAY Joshua	15%	38%	33%	12%	2%	-	-
33	EVELYN Wyatt	13%	35%	35%	15%	3%	-	-
34	CARTER Robert	4%	29%	40%	22%	6%	1%	-
35	KHOSLA Shya	70%	26%	3%	-	-	-	-
36	BARRIONUEVO Nicolas	17%	40%	30%	11%	2%	-	-
37	RESTELLI Enzo	59%	34%	7%	1%	-	-
38	NELKA Brenden	12%	33%	34%	16%	4%	-	-
39	TEPLESKY Sasha	62%	33%	5%	-	-	-
40	FERRIS Oliver	25%	42%	25%	7%	1%	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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