River City Regional Rumble RYC/RJCC/Y8

Y-10 Men's Foil

Saturday, October 25, 2025 at 12:30 PM

Richmond Convention Center - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 PARK Joshua - 1% 13% 40% 37% 9%
2 CHEN Jesse 3% 20% 40% 30% 8%
3 HAN Jayden - - 5% 23% 44% 27%
3 LIANG Anker 1% 12% 33% 38% 16%
5 NIU Charlie 4% 26% 49% 19% 2% -
6 CAINE Collin 3% 20% 40% 30% 7%
7 WOOD Oliver 3% 18% 38% 32% 9%
8 CREANGA Matthew 26% 47% 23% 4% - -
9 YEUNG Asher Pak Yu - - 1% 12% 42% 45%
10 WOOD Theodore 2% 13% 35% 35% 14% 2%
11 HAN Owen 2% 16% 36% 34% 11%
12 OBRIEN Seamus 3% 24% 46% 26% 1%
13 SHOEMAKER-TRINH Kai 10% 35% 38% 16% 2% -
14 CHOI Christian - 3% 21% 47% 29%
15 MERA-BRITO Gabriel 12% 34% 35% 16% 3%
16 GERELUS Grant 51% 38% 10% 1% -
17 FORBES Xavier 3% 19% 37% 29% 10% 1%
18 HOLLANDER Leo - < 1% 6% 27% 44% 22%
19 CHOE Samuel - 1% 10% 37% 40% 12%
19 STANSBURY Malcolm 39% 43% 15% 2% - -
21 WILK Aaron 23% 43% 27% 7% 1%
22 BOGEN Jeffrey 36% 47% 16% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.