River City Regional Rumble RYC/RJCC/Y8

Y-10 Men's Foil

Saturday, October 25, 2025 at 12:30 PM

Richmond Convention Center - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 PARK Joshua 100% 100% 99% 86% 46% 9%
2 CHEN Jesse 100% 97% 77% 38% 8%
3 HAN Jayden 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 27%
3 LIANG Anker 100% 99% 87% 54% 16%
5 NIU Charlie 100% 96% 70% 21% 2% -
6 CAINE Collin 100% 97% 77% 36% 7%
7 WOOD Oliver 100% 97% 79% 41% 9%
8 CREANGA Matthew 100% 74% 26% 4% - -
9 YEUNG Asher Pak Yu 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 45%
10 WOOD Theodore 100% 98% 85% 51% 15% 2%
11 HAN Owen 100% 98% 81% 45% 11%
12 OBRIEN Seamus 100% 97% 73% 27% 1%
13 SHOEMAKER-TRINH Kai 100% 90% 56% 18% 2% -
14 CHOI Christian 100% 100% 97% 76% 29%
15 MERA-BRITO Gabriel 100% 88% 54% 18% 3%
16 GERELUS Grant 100% 49% 12% 1% -
17 FORBES Xavier 100% 97% 78% 40% 11% 1%
18 HOLLANDER Leo 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 22%
19 CHOE Samuel 100% 100% 99% 89% 52% 12%
19 STANSBURY Malcolm 100% 61% 18% 2% - -
21 WILK Aaron 100% 77% 34% 8% 1%
22 BOGEN Jeffrey 100% 64% 18% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.