River City Regional Rumble RYC/RJCC/Y8

Y-12 Women's Foil

Saturday, October 25, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Richmond Convention Center - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 HAFEZ Sahar - 1% 14% 48% 34% 2%
2 REILLY Carys 1% 10% 35% 41% 14%
3 SMOLICH Emily - - 8% 39% 52% 1%
3 FENG Claire - 3% 19% 44% 33%
5 KHETPAL Aalia - 2% 15% 42% 37% 4%
6 WANG Allyson 1% 10% 33% 37% 17% 3%
7 MCKINNEY Olivia - 4% 26% 48% 21% 1%
8 PARK Hannah - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
9 BREWER Gracie - 1% 10% 33% 40% 16%
10 HUANG Gabrielle - 5% 28% 41% 22% 4%
11 OLAND Norah - 2% 14% 38% 36% 10%
12 YAO Emma - 5% 24% 39% 26% 6%
13 HALLEY Jacqueline 5% 29% 40% 21% 5% -
14 CHEN Arianna 3% 22% 42% 26% 6% -
15 HUANG Jiayu 2% 20% 42% 30% 7%
16 WU Karina 15% 46% 31% 7% 1% -
17 JIANG Arwen 41% 44% 13% 2% - -
18 ZHONG Meghan - - 4% 21% 43% 31%
19 LEE Soli - - 4% 22% 45% 29%
20 SILVA Lia 4% 32% 42% 19% 3%
21 MCGAHAN Adley 67% 29% 4% - - -
22 KUKANIC Fiona - < 1% - 5% 32% 62%
23 WILK Catherine 26% 46% 23% 5% - -
24 HUANG Alicia - 6% 25% 38% 25% 5%
25 LI Jiacheng 72% 25% 3% - -
26 SAKATA Jamie 47% 41% 11% 1% - -
27 SOMAN Nabha 18% 43% 30% 9% 1% -
28 WANG Christina 39% 47% 12% 1% - -
29 MITTAL Sahana 1% 24% 45% 25% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.