Granite State Open

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, October 26, 2025 at 2:30 PM

Seacoast Fencing Club- Rochester - Rochester, NH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 JONES Tristan Kai 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 83%
2 DJONOUMA Toyohm 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
3 MICKEY Christopher J. 100% 100% 86% 48% 11% -
3 WANG-SONG Evan 100% 100% 96% 61% 18% 2%
5 SONG Angela 100% 100% 97% 79% 33%
6 CALDWELL Phoebe 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 15%
7 MOSKOWITZ Martin 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 20%
8 LEE Harrison 100% 81% 38% 8% 1% -
9 WENGER Caleb 100% 100% 95% 68% 22%
10 LIU Jeremiah W. 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 15%
11 BANNEN Nicholas 100% 100% 96% 79% 39% 6%
12 REELS Eric J. 100% 98% 78% 29% 2%
13 O'BRIEN Eamon 100% 100% 99% 82% 40% 8%
14 REARDON Patrick M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 30%
15 DOLLARHITE Tommy 100% 99% 83% 44% 12% 1%
16 MARCOUX Alexander 100% 100% 94% 70% 29% 4%
17 OSHIMA Robert 100% 99% 87% 48% 11% -
18 ZHANG Eric I. 100% 95% 67% 22% 3% -
19 NIXON-PERONI Micah 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% 1%
20 ERIKSEN Casey 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
21 HAN Nathan 100% 61% 16% 2% -
22 MELCHER Charles 100% 100% 95% 71% 28% -
23 HANNA Alexander 100% 92% 58% 19% 2% -
24 BEAULIEU Edmund 100% 91% 17% 1% - -
25 DUSINLLEUX Kate D. 100% 80% 34% 7% -
26 COLLIER Samara 100% 59% 17% 2% - -
27 WHEELER Michele L. 100% 50% 11% 1% - -
27 MA Yanlei 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% -
29 POPE MCCRIGHT Emma 100% 25% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.