Thrust Fall RYC/RJCC

Junior Women's Épée

Sunday, October 26, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College (Eugene Levy Field House) - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WANG Trinity 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
2 VENKATESAN Harshitha 100% 100% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
3 SHAYAKHMETOVA Suzanna 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 33%
3 LI Caroline 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 42%
5 LEE Claire 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 72%
6 LAW Mila 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2%
7 SHEFFIELD Skye 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 28%
8 LI Alice 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 5%
9 CHEN Alina 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9%
10 GOLIYAD Lisa 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 9%
11 LI Yixin Catherine 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
13 BURROWS Beatrice 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 18% 1%
14 DESANTIS-IBANEZ Elena 100% 100% 100% 96% 70% 22%
15 MONITTO Malina 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% -
16 POYNTON Cora 100% 93% 62% 24% 4% -
17 TIAN Victoria 100% 92% 63% 25% 4% < 1%
18 XIAO Katelyn 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 22% 3%
19 LAU Karina 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% < 1% -
20 ZOU You yang (Yoyo) 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 38% 7%
21 MISHIMA Audrey 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 27%
22 WILLIAMSON Beatrix 100% 100% 99% 90% 49% 10%
23 BUES Caelan 100% 72% 18% 1% - -
24 CHERNOBRIVETS Maria 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 12% 1%
25 XU Jessica 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
26 BI Michelle 100% 99% 93% 68% 31% 7% 1%
27 LIN Cynthia 100% 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
28 YU Livia 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 14% 1%
29 MILLER Cassandra 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
30 PETROFF Eva 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 8%
31 GRUDZINSKI Josephine 100% 74% 29% 6% 1% - -
32 HALL Henrietta 100% 65% 22% 4% - -
33 WORMHOOD Alexa 100% 92% 51% 12% 1% - -
34 JU Jennifer 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
35 YANAGIDA Coco 100% 98% 77% 23% 3% -
36 ALVAREZ Martine 100% 86% 48% 16% 3% - -
37 PETRIZZO Anna 100% 96% 68% 25% 4% - -
38 SONKU Mira 100% 97% 82% 49% 18% 3% -
39 YOUN Emily 100% 96% 75% 37% 9% 1%
40 GARCIA Aly 100% 100% 100% 93% 67% 27% 4%
41 WU Madisen 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% -
42 LIU Lillian 100% 74% 30% 6% 1% - -
43 NGUYEN Celena 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
44 DING Iris Siyue 100% 96% 76% 42% 13% 2% -
45 AUDET Scarlett 100% 35% 4% - - - -
46 JAISON Carol 100% 51% 8% - - -
47 TOBY Kaja 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.