Thrust Fall RYC/RJCC

Junior Men's Saber

Sunday, October 26, 2025 at 10:30 AM

Rockland Community College (Eugene Levy Field House) - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TSAO Oliver - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12%
2 NOVOSYOLOK Zachary - - - 4% 19% 42% 34%
3 PAVLENISHVILI Luke - 1% 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
3 PORTER Dupree - 1% 6% 26% 44% 24%
5 WANG Theodore - 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 3%
6 WAXLER Ryan - 2% 10% 31% 40% 17%
7 MATTOO Dhruv 1% 12% 31% 34% 18% 4% -
8 GRIECI Noah - 3% 14% 33% 36% 15%
9 LAZARTE Gabriel - 1% 7% 26% 39% 23% 5%
10 WU Timothy - - 2% 10% 32% 40% 16%
11 LIU Ryan - 1% 8% 27% 38% 21% 4%
12 WANG William - - - 5% 22% 43% 29%
13 YU Zhexuan - 1% 8% 28% 41% 21%
14 BALE ATMAN - 2% 12% 34% 40% 13%
15 WONG Mac - - 6% 24% 39% 26% 5%
16 NOTOPRADONO Nicholas - 5% 18% 35% 31% 11%
17 LAMTAN Christoffer 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
18 JI Johnson - 1% 8% 29% 43% 20%
19 SONG Aidan - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
20 SADHU Neiyam - - 2% 10% 29% 40% 20%
21 KHOTLINE Daniel 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
22 WONG Caleb W. 1% 6% 24% 39% 25% 6%
23 PARK Inwoo - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
24 HO Nathaniel 1% 14% 36% 35% 13% 2%
25 FIROOZI Sam 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
26 ZWAKA Jonas 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
27 COPP Max 8% 28% 35% 22% 6% 1%
28 WASCO Andrew 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4%
29 HUANG Alexander C. - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
30 JIANG Terence 3% 24% 41% 26% 6% 1%
31 LIEBOWITZ Carson 3% 20% 40% 28% 8% 1%
32 LEVIN Jacob 6% 27% 38% 23% 6% 1%
33 SWIFT Owen - - 2% 10% 28% 40% 21%
34 LOSQUADRO Joseph 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4% -
35 WEISS Toby 2% 18% 39% 31% 10% 1%
36 LIU Andrew - 3% 13% 31% 33% 17% 3%
37 ZHANG Joseph 13% 37% 33% 14% 3% - -
39 COUNTS Nicholas - 6% 26% 40% 23% 4%
40 CHENG Sawyer 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1%
41 MUKHERJEE Aryan 55% 36% 8% 1% - -
42 KENNEDY Tomás 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
43 JAIN Karanvir 1% 11% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
44 DAYAMA Ronak - 8% 34% 37% 17% 3% -
45 MARTINEZ Luke 29% 42% 22% 5% 1% - -
46 HELD Lev 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1% -
47 CHIEN Nolan 3% 20% 36% 28% 11% 2% -
48 JARAMILLO Juan 7% 35% 39% 16% 3% -
49 GREENE Kevin 9% 31% 36% 19% 4% -
50 ZHENG Lucas 18% 40% 30% 10% 1% -
51 DREYER William 8% 27% 36% 23% 7% 1%
52 ZHIVICH Theo 65% 30% 5% - - -
53 PERRY Xander 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
54 CHIN Adrian 12% 54% 28% 5% - - -
55 NIEBERGALL Jaxson 18% 40% 31% 10% 1% -
56 MARSHQUIST Miles 50% 37% 11% 2% - - -
57 STEWART Samuel 14% 38% 33% 13% 2% - -
57 BERGHAUSER Zachary 71% 26% 2% - - - -
59 LIEU Nicholas 30% 42% 22% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.