Thrust Fall RYC/RJCC

Junior Men's Saber

Sunday, October 26, 2025 at 10:30 AM

Rockland Community College (Eugene Levy Field House) - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TSAO Oliver 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 12%
2 NOVOSYOLOK Zachary 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 34%
3 PAVLENISHVILI Luke 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 41% 10%
3 PORTER Dupree 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
5 WANG Theodore 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 21% 3%
6 WAXLER Ryan 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 17%
7 MATTOO Dhruv 100% 99% 87% 57% 22% 5% -
8 GRIECI Noah 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
9 LAZARTE Gabriel 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 28% 5%
10 WU Timothy 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 16%
11 LIU Ryan 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 25% 4%
12 WANG William 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 29%
13 YU Zhexuan 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
14 BALE ATMAN 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 13%
15 WONG Mac 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 31% 5%
16 NOTOPRADONO Nicholas 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 11%
17 LAMTAN Christoffer 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 8%
18 JI Johnson 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 20%
19 SONG Aidan 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
20 SADHU Neiyam 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 20%
21 KHOTLINE Daniel 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 5%
22 WONG Caleb W. 100% 99% 93% 70% 31% 6%
23 PARK Inwoo 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
24 HO Nathaniel 100% 99% 85% 49% 14% 2%
25 FIROOZI Sam 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 9% 1%
26 ZWAKA Jonas 100% 97% 83% 51% 19% 3%
27 COPP Max 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1%
28 WASCO Andrew 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4%
29 HUANG Alexander C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
30 JIANG Terence 100% 97% 73% 33% 7% 1%
31 LIEBOWITZ Carson 100% 97% 77% 37% 9% 1%
32 LEVIN Jacob 100% 94% 67% 29% 6% 1%
33 SWIFT Owen 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 21%
34 LOSQUADRO Joseph 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4% -
35 WEISS Toby 100% 98% 80% 42% 11% 1%
36 LIU Andrew 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 20% 3%
37 ZHANG Joseph 100% 87% 50% 17% 3% - -
39 COUNTS Nicholas 100% 100% 93% 68% 28% 4%
40 CHENG Sawyer 100% 93% 69% 34% 9% 1%
41 MUKHERJEE Aryan 100% 45% 9% 1% - -
42 KENNEDY Tomás 100% 99% 90% 62% 27% 6% 1%
43 JAIN Karanvir 100% 99% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
44 DAYAMA Ronak 100% 100% 92% 58% 21% 4% -
45 MARTINEZ Luke 100% 71% 28% 6% 1% - -
46 HELD Lev 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1% -
47 CHIEN Nolan 100% 97% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
48 JARAMILLO Juan 100% 93% 58% 19% 3% -
49 GREENE Kevin 100% 91% 59% 23% 5% -
50 ZHENG Lucas 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% -
51 DREYER William 100% 92% 66% 30% 8% 1%
52 ZHIVICH Theo 100% 35% 5% - - -
53 PERRY Xander 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% - -
54 CHIN Adrian 100% 88% 34% 6% - - -
55 NIEBERGALL Jaxson 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% -
56 MARSHQUIST Miles 100% 50% 12% 2% - - -
57 STEWART Samuel 100% 86% 48% 15% 2% - -
57 BERGHAUSER Zachary 100% 29% 2% - - - -
59 LIEU Nicholas 100% 70% 29% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.