Thrust Fall RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Sunday, October 26, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Rockland Community College (Eugene Levy Field House) - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KHANNA Adamantis - - - - 2% 20% 77%
2 AGARWAAL Yohan - - - - 3% 23% 74%
3 DAI Zihou - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
3 BAI Evan - - 2% 12% 39% 48%
5 ISAYENKO Daniel - - 2% 14% 40% 43%
6 HU Jayden - - 3% 17% 42% 37%
7 ZHAO Royce - - - 1% 6% 32% 61%
8 BELAND Riley James "RJ" - - - 2% 16% 45% 37%
9 KARAVAS Nicholas - - 1% 7% 35% 57%
10 KOREN David - 3% 13% 28% 33% 19% 4%
11 ZHANG Simon - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
12 WAXLER Alex 5% 24% 39% 25% 7% 1%
13 LI Michael - 2% 16% 45% 37%
14 WU Vincent - 2% 9% 26% 36% 22% 5%
15 TITOV Zachary 1% 6% 20% 33% 27% 11% 2%
16 SUBA Mason 2% 12% 32% 37% 16% 2%
18 SONG Aidan - - - 4% 23% 48% 25%
19 LAU Kyrus - 1% 7% 21% 34% 28% 9%
20 STOLCKE Julian - - 1% 9% 29% 42% 19%
21 ARCHIBALD Zachary - - 4% 18% 39% 33% 6%
22 YAO John - 5% 25% 47% 23%
23 PARK Layne 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3% -
24 SUH Leo - - 1% 8% 25% 41% 25%
25 HE Nolan 1% 15% 37% 33% 12% 1%
26 BRADY Jack - 3% 18% 40% 33% 6%
27 BEAL Colton - - - 4% 21% 43% 31%
28 MESSINGER Joshua 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
29 O'KEEFE Brody 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
30 BLAIR Campbell - 2% 12% 32% 37% 16% 2%
31 ZALETAEV Jacob 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 5%
32 MARTINSON Torm - 3% 14% 31% 35% 16% 1%
33 SO Morgan - 1% 5% 18% 33% 31% 12%
34 AVERY Marcus - - 1% 6% 24% 43% 26%
35 BALTRUSAITIS Lucas Tommaso 2% 13% 33% 34% 16% 3% -
36 LEE Ryan - - 1% 9% 29% 42% 18%
37 CIECIEREGA MATTHEW - 2% 12% 33% 37% 14% 2%
38 SIMEONIDIS Aris - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
39 NARAYAN Rishi 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 9% 1%
40 CUSSON William 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
41 BROOKS Drake - 4% 22% 39% 28% 6%
42 WANG Harrison 8% 32% 39% 18% 3% -
43 LEIGH Brayden 11% 34% 35% 16% 3% -
44 LIM JUWANA Maximilian - 4% 19% 38% 32% 7%
45 BALBALE Zayd 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6% 1%
46 TANJGA Luka 7% 35% 41% 15% 2%
47 LEE Shane Gunn - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
48 ZHAO Alexander - 1% 10% 28% 38% 21% 2%
48 LI Anton - 5% 22% 37% 28% 8% -
50 PARROCO Andrew 1% 10% 32% 36% 17% 3% -
51 BURENKOV Matthew - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
52 BLACK Bennett - 5% 23% 39% 26% 7% 1%
53 LEE Jeffrey 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
54 SPENCER-EL Elijah 4% 19% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
55 SONG Ryan 10% 33% 36% 17% 3% -
56 MARTIRE Francis 8% 32% 39% 18% 3% -
57 PARK Sean 7% 27% 37% 23% 6% -
58 AWAD Omar 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1%
59 KOREN George - 1% 6% 19% 34% 30% 10%
60 CHEN Ryan - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3%
61 LLOYD Max 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
62 DARLING Andrew 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 4% -
63 PLAWNER Eli - 5% 24% 39% 26% 5%
64 RISMAN Edward 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
65 LI Kent 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5% -
66 BENNETT Lachlan 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 5% 1%
67 GARCIA-ALBEA Diego - 2% 12% 32% 36% 16% 2%
68 SHEYNZON David 13% 39% 34% 12% 2% - -
69 DMYTRUK Alexander 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
70 HONG Isaac 6% 25% 35% 24% 9% 2% -
71 TERENTIEV Michael 1% 10% 28% 37% 20% 3%
72 RIVERATAN Darshan - 3% 16% 35% 33% 12% 1%
73 LEISTNER Armin 4% 21% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
74 LI Lucas 1% 11% 32% 35% 17% 3% -
75 MAKLIN David 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 4% -
76 LI Sebastian 33% 41% 20% 5% 1% - -
77 BURNS Carson 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
78 GAW Zachary 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1% -
79 SEDAKA Dylan 8% 36% 40% 14% 2%
80 LI Felix 14% 43% 32% 10% 1% - -
81 MITHUN Prabal 4% 31% 41% 20% 4% -
82 KRISHNARASA Aiyann 1% 6% 26% 41% 23% 3%
83 OLSON Prescott 66% 29% 5% - - -
84 DAI Ethan 28% 40% 23% 7% 1% - -
85 COONEY Alexander 7% 26% 38% 23% 6% 1% -
86 GUERRA Corey 1% 8% 24% 34% 25% 8% 1%
87 VINCENT Yijia 29% 41% 23% 6% 1% - -
88 KONG Ethan 6% 27% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
89 HUANG KIMBALL 26% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
90 FERTIK Navon 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
91 LEE Sebastian 20% 42% 28% 8% 1% - -
92 GARCIA-ALBEA Oscar 49% 40% 10% 1% -
93 SABINO Bennett 17% 38% 31% 11% 2% -
94 SZETO Derek 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
95 KRISHNAN Arjun 37% 43% 17% 3% - -
96 DY Azriel 30% 42% 22% 6% 1% - -
97 VENKATESAN Akash 49% 40% 9% 1% - - -
98 GAW Christian 26% 40% 25% 8% 1% - -
100 GAO Francis 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% -
101 YUN Matthew 39% 42% 16% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.