Thrust Fall RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Sunday, October 26, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Rockland Community College (Eugene Levy Field House) - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KHANNA Adamantis 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 77%
2 AGARWAAL Yohan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 74%
3 DAI Zihou 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 40%
3 BAI Evan 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
5 ISAYENKO Daniel 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 43%
6 HU Jayden 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 37%
7 ZHAO Royce 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
8 BELAND Riley James "RJ" 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 37%
9 KARAVAS Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
10 KOREN David 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 23% 4%
11 ZHANG Simon 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
12 WAXLER Alex 100% 95% 71% 33% 7% 1%
13 LI Michael 100% 100% 98% 82% 37%
14 WU Vincent 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 5%
15 TITOV Zachary 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 13% 2%
16 SUBA Mason 100% 98% 87% 55% 18% 2%
18 SONG Aidan 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 25%
19 LAU Kyrus 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 9%
20 STOLCKE Julian 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 19%
21 ARCHIBALD Zachary 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 6%
22 YAO John 100% 100% 95% 70% 23%
23 PARK Layne 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3% -
24 SUH Leo 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
25 HE Nolan 100% 99% 84% 47% 14% 1%
26 BRADY Jack 100% 100% 97% 79% 39% 6%
27 BEAL Colton 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 31%
28 MESSINGER Joshua 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
29 O'KEEFE Brody 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
30 BLAIR Campbell 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 17% 2%
31 ZALETAEV Jacob 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 5%
32 MARTINSON Torm 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 17% 1%
33 SO Morgan 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 12%
34 AVERY Marcus 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 26%
35 BALTRUSAITIS Lucas Tommaso 100% 98% 86% 53% 19% 3% -
36 LEE Ryan 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 18%
37 CIECIEREGA MATTHEW 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 15% 2%
38 SIMEONIDIS Aris 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
39 NARAYAN Rishi 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 10% 1%
40 CUSSON William 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
41 BROOKS Drake 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 6%
42 WANG Harrison 100% 92% 60% 21% 3% -
43 LEIGH Brayden 100% 89% 55% 20% 3% -
44 LIM JUWANA Maximilian 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 7%
45 BALBALE Zayd 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7% 1%
46 TANJGA Luka 100% 93% 57% 16% 2%
47 LEE Shane Gunn 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
48 ZHAO Alexander 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 22% 2%
48 LI Anton 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 8% -
50 PARROCO Andrew 100% 99% 89% 57% 21% 4% -
51 BURENKOV Matthew 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
52 BLACK Bennett 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 8% 1%
53 LEE Jeffrey 100% 94% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
54 SPENCER-EL Elijah 100% 96% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
55 SONG Ryan 100% 90% 56% 20% 3% -
56 MARTIRE Francis 100% 92% 61% 21% 3% -
57 PARK Sean 100% 93% 66% 29% 6% -
58 AWAD Omar 100% 98% 88% 60% 28% 7% 1%
59 KOREN George 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 40% 10%
60 CHEN Ryan 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 17% 3%
61 LLOYD Max 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 6% 1%
62 DARLING Andrew 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% -
63 PLAWNER Eli 100% 100% 94% 70% 31% 5%
64 RISMAN Edward 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
65 LI Kent 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% -
66 BENNETT Lachlan 100% 98% 84% 55% 23% 5% 1%
67 GARCIA-ALBEA Diego 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 2%
68 SHEYNZON David 100% 87% 48% 14% 2% - -
69 DMYTRUK Alexander 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
70 HONG Isaac 100% 94% 69% 34% 10% 2% -
71 TERENTIEV Michael 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 3%
72 RIVERATAN Darshan 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 13% 1%
73 LEISTNER Armin 100% 96% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
74 LI Lucas 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3% -
75 MAKLIN David 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 4% -
76 LI Sebastian 100% 67% 25% 5% 1% - -
77 BURNS Carson 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
78 GAW Zachary 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1% -
79 SEDAKA Dylan 100% 92% 56% 16% 2%
80 LI Felix 100% 86% 43% 11% 1% - -
81 MITHUN Prabal 100% 96% 65% 25% 4% -
82 KRISHNARASA Aiyann 100% 99% 93% 67% 26% 3%
83 OLSON Prescott 100% 34% 5% - - -
84 DAI Ethan 100% 72% 32% 8% 1% - -
85 COONEY Alexander 100% 93% 67% 29% 6% 1% -
86 GUERRA Corey 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 9% 1%
87 VINCENT Yijia 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% - -
88 KONG Ethan 100% 94% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
89 HUANG KIMBALL 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% - -
90 FERTIK Navon 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% - -
91 LEE Sebastian 100% 80% 38% 10% 1% - -
92 GARCIA-ALBEA Oscar 100% 51% 11% 1% -
93 SABINO Bennett 100% 83% 45% 13% 2% -
94 SZETO Derek 100% 97% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
95 KRISHNAN Arjun 100% 63% 20% 3% - -
96 DY Azriel 100% 70% 29% 6% 1% - -
97 VENKATESAN Akash 100% 51% 10% 1% - - -
98 GAW Christian 100% 74% 34% 9% 1% - -
100 GAO Francis 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% -
101 YUN Matthew 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.