Thrust Fall RYC/RJCC

Junior Men's Foil

Sunday, October 26, 2025 at 1:30 PM

Rockland Community College (Eugene Levy Field House) - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Ethan 100% 100% 100% 96% 71% 22%
2 CHEN Hanson 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
3 CHOI Benjamin 100% 98% 78% 33% 5%
3 GHEDINI Luca 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
5 TANG Alexander L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
6 FENG Michael 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
7 LI Aaron 100% 100% 99% 86% 44%
8 SIMONOV Timofey 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 42%
9 MARTIN Darius 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 39%
10 HOU Gaven 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 11%
11 BAI Brian 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 63% 18%
13 WAYBRIGHT Matteo 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
14 HOLLIS Sean 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 22% 3%
15 CZARNECKI Thomas 100% 100% 93% 66% 29% 6% -
16 ARCE Andrew W. 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36% 6%
17 CHO Jadon Yushin 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 62%
18 XIE Jicheng 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 44% 8%
19 WONG Jacob W. 100% 100% 93% 63% 20% 2%
20 LU Andy 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 6%
21 BAI Austin 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28% 4%
22 HOLMES Alexiy 100% 99% 92% 64% 26% 5% -
23 JURMAN Therin 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 3%
24 CHA James 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
25 PECK Quinn 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
26 CHOU-ESTEBAN Pau 100% 86% 48% 14% 2% -
27 PLUMMER Waylon 100% 100% 97% 79% 44% 12% 1%
28 HART-SYED declan 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 13% 1%
29 ZHAO Ryan 100% 89% 46% 11% 1%
30 RIPA Joseph K. 100% 98% 78% 35% 6% -
31 GORLOVITZKI Amitai 100% 100% 88% 55% 20% 3% -
32 CHUN Zachary 100% 95% 68% 26% 5% - -
33 XU Nathan 100% 100% 95% 71% 29% 4%
34 STAFFORD Gareth 100% 98% 82% 49% 16% 2%
35 ZAIDI Adil 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 10%
36 ROJAS Elijah 100% 95% 62% 21% 3% - -
37 YANG David H. 100% 95% 71% 32% 7% 1%
38 EZEKIEL Nathan 100% 80% 34% 7% 1% -
39 YEVDAYEV Tamir 100% 98% 84% 45% 12% 1%
40 JIMENEZ Naveen 100% 99% 91% 57% 14%
41 ZHANG Ethan 100% 81% 34% 6% - -
42 GRIGORIEV Michael 100% 99% 87% 51% 14% 2% -
43 SFINTESCU Alex 100% 98% 81% 44% 12% 2% -
44 POWELL Sean 100% 100% 88% 54% 20% 3% -
45 POLLIO Benjamin 100% 97% 75% 32% 6% - -
46 BAKSHI Aman 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 2%
47 KUO Phineas 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1%
48 XU Ryan 100% 72% 31% 7% 1% -
49 SCHEURER Edwin 100% 55% 12% 1% - -
50 WEBSTER Declan 100% 69% 24% 4% - - -
51 MCCARTHY Hudson 100% 67% 23% 4% - - -
52 KAYE Ben 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% -
53 SANTHOSH Rithwik 100% 58% 15% 2% - -
54 CHENG Karter 100% 76% 30% 5% - - -
55 DIAZ Gabriel 100% 42% 7% - -
56 CHAE Thomas Woojin 100% 10% - - - - -
57 REN Ryan 100% 82% 40% 10% 1% - -
57 CHUN Alexander 100% 38% 6% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.