2025 TCFC October Challenges

Senior Mixed Foil

Sunday, October 26, 2025 at 8:30 AM

TCFC - St. Paul, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FEEHAN Conor - 1% 6% 23% 40% 25% 4%
2 FOSTERVOLD Castiel - 1% 5% 19% 39% 34% 3%
3 HENKELMAN Grayson - - 3% 18% 43% 37%
3 ZINSER James - - - 1% 11% 41% 47%
5 STELLPFLUG Zachary - - 3% 16% 37% 35% 9%
6 MENASCO Juliun - 4% 23% 40% 27% 5%
7 IBARRA Alejandro 2% 21% 41% 29% 7% 1%
8 NEPAL Noukou Asha 8% 34% 37% 17% 3% - -
9 CRONK Trevor 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
10 WOERTER Therese-Margaret - - 3% 19% 38% 31% 9%
11 PERLENFEIN Tyler J. - 4% 22% 40% 28% 6%
12 WINTERS Linus 71% 26% 3% - - -
13 JORGENSEN Kjirsten 4% 20% 33% 28% 12% 2% -
14 BODNER Nicholas 6% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1% -
15 LEGGETT Emilia 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
16 KOTCH Brodie 6% 26% 40% 23% 5% - -
17 SUNDSBAK Evan - 4% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
18 DAVIS Jace W. 1% 9% 32% 39% 16% 3% -
19 SLIVINSKI Vincent 1% 13% 57% 26% 4% -
20 PFISTER Cameron 32% 43% 21% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.