2025 TCFC October Challenges

Senior Mixed Foil

Sunday, October 26, 2025 at 8:30 AM

TCFC - St. Paul, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FEEHAN Conor 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 30% 4%
2 FOSTERVOLD Castiel 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 37% 3%
3 HENKELMAN Grayson 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 37%
3 ZINSER James 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 47%
5 STELLPFLUG Zachary 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 9%
6 MENASCO Juliun 100% 100% 96% 72% 32% 5%
7 IBARRA Alejandro 100% 98% 77% 37% 8% 1%
8 NEPAL Noukou Asha 100% 92% 58% 21% 4% - -
9 CRONK Trevor 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 3% -
10 WOERTER Therese-Margaret 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 39% 9%
11 PERLENFEIN Tyler J. 100% 100% 96% 74% 34% 6%
12 WINTERS Linus 100% 29% 4% - - -
13 JORGENSEN Kjirsten 100% 96% 76% 43% 14% 2% -
14 BODNER Nicholas 100% 94% 69% 33% 8% 1% -
15 LEGGETT Emilia 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5% -
16 KOTCH Brodie 100% 94% 68% 29% 5% - -
17 SUNDSBAK Evan 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
18 DAVIS Jace W. 100% 99% 90% 58% 19% 3% -
19 SLIVINSKI Vincent 100% 99% 86% 30% 4% -
20 PFISTER Cameron 100% 68% 26% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.