Event Results
Savage Fencing Club OktoberfechtSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | ZHOU Yinzhe | V V V V V V | V V V V V | 5.1 | 6 | +0.9 |
| 2 | SKOLNICK Michael W. | V D V V V | V V V V D | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| 3 | LIU Anthony | V V V D V V | V V V D | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 |
| 3 | PEREZ Logan | V V V V V V | V V V D | 4.5 | 6 | +1.5 |
| 5 | BEREKNYEI Lukas | V V V V V V | V V D | 2.5 | 6 | +3.5 |
| 6 | CHOW Kingsley | V V V V V | V V D | 2.1 | 5 | +2.9 |
| 7 | CRAYTON Royce S. | D V V V V V | V V D | 4.1 | 5 | +0.9 |
| 8 | SAE-TUNG Kevin | V V V V V D | V V D | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| 9 | JEROME Trevor | V V V V V D | V D | 3.0 | 5 | +2.0 |
| 10 | WANG Jim | V V D V V V | V D | 4.2 | 5 | +0.8 |
| 11 | NSUBUGA Jeffrey | V V D V V D | V D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 12 | BERGMANN Beatrix | V V D D V V | V D | 1.5 | 4 | +2.5 |
| 13 | BEREKNYEI Thomas | D V V V D V | V D | 5.5 | 4 | -1.5 |
| 14 | LEE Hans | D V D V V | V D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 15 | CHANG Zane | V D V D D V | V D | 4.4 | 3 | -1.4 |
| 16 | ROSA II Carl D. | D V D V V D | V D | 4.2 | 3 | -1.2 |
| 17 | GALVAN Omar | D D V D V V | D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 18 | CHANG Xavier | V D V D D V | D | 1.8 | 3 | +1.2 |
| 19 | GALVAN Ivan | V V D D D V | D | 4.4 | 3 | -1.4 |
| 20 | WEBER Andrew | D V V D D | D | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| 21 | BUCHANAN Jonah | D D D V V D | D | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| 22 | LU Zoe | D V D D D V | D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| 23 | MILLIGAN Lauren M. | V D D V D D | D | 3.3 | 2 | -1.3 |
| 24 | NELSON Ulysses | D D V D D V | D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 25 | SCHOEPFLE Carla | D D V V D D | D | 1.2 | 2 | +0.8 |
| 26 | LOTHSTEIN Alexander | V D D D D | D | 3.0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| 27 | MYERS Kenneth | D V D D D D | D | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| 28 | WANG Alexander | V D D D D D | D | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
| 29 | MCINTYRE Christopher | D D D V D D | D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 30 | ORLOVA Elena | D D D D D V | D | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| 31 | GRIETZER Elizabeth | D D D D D D | V D | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| 32 | AL-MALLAH Anwar | D D D D D D | V D | 3.2 | 0 | -3.2 |
| 33 | MCHALE Brendan | D D D D D | D | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
| 34 | STENSON Alyssa | D D D D D D | D | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |