River City Regional Rumble RYC/RJCC/Y8

Y-10 Men's Saber

Sunday, October 26, 2025 at 10:30 AM

Richmond Convention Center - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GHIM Ethan - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
2 ROSTHOLDER Ethan - 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 5%
3 LI Nathan - - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15%
3 KWON Joon - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
5 TIAN Michael - 4% 15% 31% 32% 15% 2%
6 BECKER Grayson - - 2% 12% 37% 46% 3%
7 CHEN Remsen 2% 13% 32% 33% 16% 4% -
8 WANG Thomas 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 10% 1%
9 TOPALOV Michael - 1% 5% 19% 36% 30% 9%
10 SWORDS Frank - - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
11 CHANG Isaac 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
12 ZHAO Evan 10% 31% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
13 YE Matthew 23% 39% 27% 9% 2% - -
14 GUINN Robert 25% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
15 FERRARO Marco 2% 12% 29% 34% 18% 5% -
16 HYDE Aidan - < 1% 2% 18% 39% 32% 9%
17 FERRARO Antonio 12% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
17 SAUDEK Felix 3% 15% 30% 31% 16% 4% -
19 ZHANG Luyang 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
20 PETROSYAN David < 1% 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
21 BUCKLEY Charlie 12% 39% 34% 13% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.