River City Regional Rumble RYC/RJCC/Y8

Y-10 Men's Saber

Sunday, October 26, 2025 at 10:30 AM

Richmond Convention Center - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GHIM Ethan - - 3% 15% 34% 34% 13%
2 ROSTHOLDER Ethan - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
3 LI Nathan - - 4% 16% 33% 33% 13%
3 KWON Joon - 1% 9% 26% 36% 22% 5%
5 TIAN Michael 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
6 BECKER Grayson - - 4% 18% 40% 35% 2%
7 CHEN Remsen 2% 14% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
8 WANG Thomas 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
9 TOPALOV Michael - 1% 6% 20% 36% 29% 8%
10 SWORDS Frank - 1% 4% 18% 34% 32% 11%
11 CHANG Isaac 1% 10% 26% 34% 21% 7% 1%
12 ZHAO Evan 10% 32% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
13 YE Matthew 23% 39% 27% 9% 2% - -
14 GUINN Robert 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
15 FERRARO Marco 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 7% 1%
16 HYDE Aidan - < 1% 3% 17% 36% 33% 11%
17 FERRARO Antonio 1% 6% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
17 SAUDEK Felix 5% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2% -
19 ZHANG Luyang 20% 40% 29% 10% 1% - -
20 PETROSYAN David < 1% 5% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
21 BUCKLEY Charlie 12% 39% 34% 12% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.