River City Regional Rumble RYC/RJCC/Y8

Y-10 Men's Saber

Sunday, October 26, 2025 at 10:30 AM

Richmond Convention Center - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GHIM Ethan 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
2 ROSTHOLDER Ethan 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 28% 5%
3 LI Nathan 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
3 KWON Joon 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
5 TIAN Michael 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 2%
6 BECKER Grayson 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49% 3%
7 CHEN Remsen 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
8 WANG Thomas 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 1%
9 TOPALOV Michael 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 9%
10 SWORDS Frank 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 12%
11 CHANG Isaac 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3% -
12 ZHAO Evan 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
13 YE Matthew 100% 77% 38% 11% 2% - -
14 GUINN Robert 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% - -
15 FERRARO Marco 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
16 HYDE Aidan 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 40% 9%
17 FERRARO Antonio 100% 88% 53% 19% 3% - -
17 SAUDEK Felix 100% 97% 82% 52% 21% 4% -
19 ZHANG Luyang 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
20 PETROSYAN David 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
21 BUCKLEY Charlie 100% 88% 49% 15% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.