AFM Super Regional SYC/RJCC/ROC Div1A/Vet

Junior Men's Saber

Friday, October 31, 2025 at 12:00 PM

Santa Clara Convention Center - Santa Clara, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SKARBONKIEWICZ Maksymilian A. - - - 1% 10% 39% 50%
2 KANG Evan - 1% 7% 26% 43% 24%
3 LI AYDEN - 2% 11% 30% 39% 19%
3 LIU Leyi - - 2% 13% 36% 39% 10%
5 KANG Matthew - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 31%
6 WANG Tiger - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
7 LEE Brady 1% 6% 23% 37% 27% 7%
8 LEE Brian - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 16%
9 KOZLOFF Wyatt - 1% 10% 28% 37% 21% 3%
10 LUC Cedric - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 11%
11 CRICOL Damian - - 5% 21% 40% 29% 5%
12 BIAN Hongyu - - 1% 6% 26% 43% 24%
13 SANGSTER Arden - 2% 15% 36% 35% 12%
14 YU Jayden 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
15 CHAN Henry 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 6%
16 CHEN Cooper 3% 22% 40% 27% 8% 1%
17 RAMTEKKAR Soham - 1% 8% 27% 39% 22% 4%
18 HOLZ Lucas - - - 4% 19% 43% 34%
19 LEE Brandon 2% 14% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
20 GANASCIA-LIN Guillaume - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
21 STURGEON Cole - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
22 BROWN Andrew 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
23 WANG HongXi - 2% 16% 37% 33% 11% 1%
24 EKAMBARAM Nikhil 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4% -
25 HO Anson 1% 11% 30% 36% 19% 4%
26 WONG David - 2% 10% 30% 39% 19%
27 SRIVATSAV Anay 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% -
28 FAN Hsiao-Kai(Kai) - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 6%
29 YANG Dylan - - 1% 9% 29% 41% 19%
29 VO Landon - 3% 16% 34% 33% 13% 2%
31 ZHANG Shaoxuan 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1%
32 ZHANG Kaixuan - 3% 18% 38% 32% 9%
33 IYER Neil 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 7%
34 SRIVATSAV Ishaan 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
35 PEREIRA Beckham 1% 6% 19% 33% 28% 12% 2%
36 HWANG Hagan 5% 31% 40% 20% 4% -
37 BOSITA Carson - - - 2% 14% 40% 44%
38 ELSAYED Yahia 10% 56% 28% 5% - - -
39 KULKARNI Shreyas 12% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
40 COBIAN Richard - 5% 23% 38% 26% 7% 1%
41 KO Zuriel - 1% 7% 26% 39% 23% 4%
42 ROH Jaden - 3% 22% 40% 27% 7% 1%
42 BEKDJANOV Arthur - 2% 11% 30% 36% 19% 3%
44 LUC Linkin - 3% 22% 40% 28% 7% 1%
44 CHEN Zhengming 18% 43% 29% 8% 1% - -
46 ROSALES Vincent 1% 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% -
47 GONZALEZ Mark 20% 43% 28% 8% 1% - -
48 LIU Yijin - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
49 CHEN Shawn 1% 8% 25% 36% 23% 6% 1%
50 SUN Ryan 2% 13% 34% 34% 14% 2% -
51 TANG Morgan 1% 14% 36% 34% 14% 2% -
52 TSENG Cooper 10% 35% 36% 16% 3% - -
53 BRUM Charles E. 21% 41% 28% 9% 1% -
54 HERRERA Stefano 59% 34% 7% 1% - -
55 QI Jeremy 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% -
56 LIU Daniel 12% 35% 34% 15% 3% -
57 VENKATRAMAN Sushil 31% 44% 21% 4% - - -
58 AIKMAN Kai 9% 29% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
59 HE Zhikai (kyle) 4% 33% 40% 19% 4% - -
60 FISCHER Noel 16% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
61 ANUMULA Aryan - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 2%
62 LIAO Yifong 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
63 WEATHERBEE Liam 77% 22% 1% - - - -
64 SMITH Etienne 34% 44% 18% 3% - - -
65 KATZ Nico 26% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
66 HAMDAN Zachery 39% 41% 16% 3% - - -
67 NAZIF Laith 75% 22% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.