DMFC's 7th annual Jack-O-Lantern tournament (3-wea

Senior Mixed Foil

Saturday, November 1, 2025 at 4:00 PM

West Des Moines Christian Church - West Des Moines, IA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4
1 JANECEK Josiah D. - 1% 9% 48% 42%
2 LIBBY-WHITTINGTON X - 1% 14% 44% 41%
3 VEIGEL Harper 2% 13% 34% 37% 14%
3 FREED Abigail 2% 15% 37% 35% 11%
5 GREISING Jon 8% 36% 40% 14% 2%
6 ORGERON Jeremy 7% 35% 41% 15% 1%
7 FREED Jonathan F. 3% 18% 39% 32% 9%
8 STRAWBRIDGE Dane 23% 41% 27% 8% 1%
9 KIRKPATRICK Preston J. 1% 12% 33% 38% 15%
10 JOHNSTONE Natasha - 1% 36% 51% 12%
11 YOUNG Taryn 5% 40% 47% 8% -
12 MX M 83% 16% 1% - -
13 JOHNSTONE Mathew 4% 35% 48% 12% 1%
14 BELL Alexander 1% 19% 41% 31% 8%
15 ORGERON Allison 41% 43% 14% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.