DMFC's 7th annual Jack-O-Lantern tournament (3-wea

Senior Mixed Foil

Saturday, November 1, 2025 at 4:00 PM

West Des Moines Christian Church - West Des Moines, IA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4
1 JANECEK Josiah D. 100% 100% 99% 90% 42%
2 LIBBY-WHITTINGTON X 100% 100% 99% 85% 41%
3 VEIGEL Harper 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
3 FREED Abigail 100% 98% 83% 46% 11%
5 GREISING Jon 100% 92% 56% 16% 2%
6 ORGERON Jeremy 100% 93% 57% 16% 1%
7 FREED Jonathan F. 100% 97% 80% 41% 9%
8 STRAWBRIDGE Dane 100% 77% 36% 9% 1%
9 KIRKPATRICK Preston J. 100% 99% 87% 54% 15%
10 JOHNSTONE Natasha 100% 100% 99% 63% 12%
11 YOUNG Taryn 100% 95% 55% 8% -
12 MX M 100% 17% 1% - -
13 JOHNSTONE Mathew 100% 96% 61% 13% 1%
14 BELL Alexander 100% 99% 80% 39% 8%
15 ORGERON Allison 100% 59% 16% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.