AFM Super Regional SYC/RJCC/ROC Div1A/Vet

Div I-A Women's Saber

Saturday, November 1, 2025 at 4:00 PM

Santa Clara Convention Center - Santa Clara, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WANG Jiayi - 1% 5% 19% 35% 30% 10%
2 DANG Kelia - - - 3% 17% 41% 39%
3 HAN Emma 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
3 LIU kai yin aria - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 29%
5 WONG Natalie - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6%
6 HUSS Miriam 11% 34% 34% 16% 4% < 1% -
7 LAI Karen 3% 17% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
8 YU Stella - 2% 9% 25% 35% 24% 5%
9 LIN Elaine - - - 3% 15% 41% 41%
10 WANG Yixuan - - - - 3% 25% 71%
11 RAGHURAMAN Anishka - 2% 11% 30% 37% 18% 2%
12 KINKADE Ellie - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
13 XA-CHIN Sara - 5% 17% 31% 30% 14% 2%
14 LOMOTAN Addison - 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9%
15 DUFF Caitlin 2% 12% 28% 33% 19% 5% -
16 DUDNICK Morgan - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 6%
17 CONG Anne - - 2% 9% 27% 39% 23%
18 CAO arissa 9% 28% 35% 21% 7% 1% -
19 KRASOWITZ Lucy - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
20 TONG Laurie 1% 7% 22% 34% 25% 9% 1%
21 MUNGUIA Mila - - 4% 19% 38% 31% 7%
22 BORTAI Eliza - 3% 15% 34% 33% 13% 2%
23 HSIEH Lucia 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
24 DIECK Miranda P. - 3% 14% 31% 32% 17% 3%
25 HWANG Charlotte - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9% 1%
26 KIM Satie - 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3%
27 KIRBY Skye 1% 11% 32% 35% 17% 3% -
28 NGUYEN Summer 7% 24% 35% 24% 9% 1% -
29 DOXAN Sarah 14% 34% 32% 15% 4% 1% -
30 PEREIRA Izumi 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
31 SUN Angela 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
32 WONG Cerise - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
33 LIU Hannah - 3% 17% 35% 32% 12% 1%
34 MAO Elsa 1% 7% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2%
35 MOON Claire - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
36 LEMMEN Jasmijn 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
37 NING Lynn 1% 10% 26% 33% 21% 7% 1%
37 YU Skylar - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12% 1%
39 LONG Jessie - - 4% 15% 32% 34% 15%
40 KU Alathea-Joy - 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 5%
41 LIN Annika - 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1%
42 KO Ariel 1% 8% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
43 CHANG Annette 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 10% 1%
44 MAO anna - 10% 28% 34% 21% 6% 1%
45 ZHAI AMY - 3% 16% 32% 32% 15% 3%
46 ASPIRAS Avery 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
47 LI Miranda 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
48 BHAVSAR Vanmayi 24% 40% 26% 9% 1% - -
49 DUONG Esther - 3% 13% 30% 33% 17% 3%
50 JUNG Sienna 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
51 ERPELDING Emily 12% 40% 34% 12% 2% - -
52 ZHANG JADY 6% 27% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
53 CHAUHAN Mehek 91% 8% - - - - -
54 CAI Veronica 10% 31% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
55 PANCHAL Arya 31% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
56 OOI Elise 49% 39% 10% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.