AFM Super Regional SYC/RJCC/ROC Div1A/Vet

Div I-A Women's Saber

Saturday, November 1, 2025 at 4:00 PM

Santa Clara Convention Center - Santa Clara, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WANG Jiayi 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 10%
2 DANG Kelia 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 39%
3 HAN Emma 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 9% 1%
3 LIU kai yin aria 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
5 WONG Natalie 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 28% 6%
6 HUSS Miriam 100% 89% 55% 21% 5% 1% -
7 LAI Karen 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
8 YU Stella 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 5%
9 LIN Elaine 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
10 WANG Yixuan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 71%
11 RAGHURAMAN Anishka 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 20% 2%
12 KINKADE Ellie 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
13 XA-CHIN Sara 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
14 LOMOTAN Addison 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 9%
15 DUFF Caitlin 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 5% -
16 DUDNICK Morgan 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 6%
17 CONG Anne 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 23%
18 CAO arissa 100% 91% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
19 KRASOWITZ Lucy 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
20 TONG Laurie 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 11% 1%
21 MUNGUIA Mila 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 7%
22 BORTAI Eliza 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2%
23 HSIEH Lucia 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
24 DIECK Miranda P. 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
25 HWANG Charlotte 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 10% 1%
26 KIM Satie 100% 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3%
27 KIRBY Skye 100% 99% 88% 56% 21% 4% -
28 NGUYEN Summer 100% 93% 69% 35% 10% 1% -
29 DOXAN Sarah 100% 86% 52% 20% 4% 1% -
30 PEREIRA Izumi 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
31 SUN Angela 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
32 WONG Cerise 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 19% 3%
33 LIU Hannah 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 1%
34 MAO Elsa 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 2%
35 MOON Claire 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 3%
36 LEMMEN Jasmijn 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
37 NING Lynn 100% 99% 88% 62% 29% 8% 1%
37 YU Skylar 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 13% 1%
39 LONG Jessie 100% 100% 99% 96% 81% 49% 15%
40 KU Alathea-Joy 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 26% 5%
41 LIN Annika 100% 100% 93% 70% 35% 10% 1%
42 KO Ariel 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 8% 1%
43 CHANG Annette 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 1%
44 MAO anna 100% 100% 90% 62% 28% 7% 1%
45 ZHAI AMY 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 3%
46 ASPIRAS Avery 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
47 LI Miranda 100% 90% 60% 26% 7% 1% -
48 BHAVSAR Vanmayi 100% 76% 37% 10% 2% - -
49 DUONG Esther 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 3%
50 JUNG Sienna 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
51 ERPELDING Emily 100% 88% 48% 14% 2% - -
52 ZHANG JADY 100% 94% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
53 CHAUHAN Mehek 100% 9% - - - - -
54 CAI Veronica 100% 90% 59% 24% 6% 1% -
55 PANCHAL Arya 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -
56 OOI Elise 100% 51% 12% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.