Capital Fencing Academy Musketeer Circuit #1

Y-10 Mixed Saber

Sunday, November 2, 2025 at 10:00 AM

Capital Fencing Academy - Rockville, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 RADELL Zoe 100% 99% 82% 32% 3% -
2 LI Nathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 51%
3 CHANG Eleanor 100% 100% 90% 58% 18% 1%
3 HOWELL Vivienne 100% 99% 92% 61% 16% 1%
5 CHANG Isaac 100% 97% 78% 37% 5% -
6 FERRARO Antonio 100% 95% 70% 30% 6% -
7 LAM Hilda 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
8 CHEUNG Clara 100% 91% 42% 9% 1% -
9 LEBOWITZ Charles 100% 100% 99% 75% 26% 2%
11 GARCIA Madelin 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 24%
12 ENRIQUEZ Ava 100% 100% 100% 90% 50% 5%
13 RADELL Zachary 100% 100% 97% 77% 34% 6%
14 FERRARO Marco 100% 84% 41% 8% - -
15 LIN Athena 100% 99% 88% 54% 19% 3%
16 WANG Wilson 100% 62% 21% 4% - -
17 ARCHULETA Gabriela ("Pepper") 100% 89% 58% 22% 4% -
18 LIU Allen 100% 100% 91% 54% 13% 1%
19 YIU Bella 100% 100% 95% 67% 10% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.