Trick or Retreat RJCC

Cadet Men's Saber

Sunday, November 2, 2025 at 12:00 PM

NJ Convention & Exposition Center - Edison, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LUCAS William - 1% 5% 19% 34% 30% 10%
2 SRIVATS Vedh - - 3% 12% 29% 37% 20%
3 MCDONALD Finn - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
3 JI Johnson - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
5 DAI Zihou - - 3% 14% 31% 35% 16%
6 BAI Evan - 1% 4% 15% 32% 34% 14%
7 PORTER Dupree - - 3% 18% 43% 36%
8 ZHAO Royce - - - 4% 19% 43% 33%
9 LIU Marvin - 1% 8% 24% 36% 24% 6%
10 BARENBOYM Michael - 4% 21% 41% 28% 6%
11 CIEMINS Henry - - 4% 19% 38% 31% 8%
12 WEI William - 3% 12% 28% 33% 20% 4%
13 BELAND Riley James "RJ" - 4% 16% 30% 31% 16% 3%
14 SADHU Neiyam - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
14 LIU Ryan - 1% 6% 22% 36% 28% 7%
16 ROSADO CRUZ Keviel 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 5% 1%
17 CLARK Aram - - - 1% 8% 34% 58%
18 SONG Aidan - 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 4%
19 DOSTAL Maximilian - 5% 20% 35% 29% 11% 1%
20 ZWAKA Jonas - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
21 CAI Jeff - - 5% 19% 37% 30% 9%
22 LIEBOWITZ Carson - 3% 16% 34% 32% 12% 2%
23 WASCO Andrew - 2% 11% 27% 35% 21% 4%
24 MEDVINSKY Daniel - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
25 KHOTLINE Daniel - 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 7%
26 ARCHIBALD Zachary 1% 7% 23% 34% 26% 9% 1%
27 HU Jayden 2% 12% 29% 33% 18% 5% 1%
28 ORTIZ MATIAS Armando J. - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
29 LORENZ Evan 1% 9% 24% 32% 23% 8% 1%
29 HELD Lev - 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 1%
31 ZHANG Ray - 4% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2%
32 LIU Eric - 4% 15% 30% 31% 17% 3%
33 LI Cooper - 1% 8% 26% 39% 22% 4%
34 CHANG Ethan - 3% 15% 36% 33% 11% 1%
35 MARTINSON Torm - 2% 12% 29% 36% 19% 2%
36 LAU Kyrus 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
37 DOMINIQUE Remson - - - 4% 19% 42% 34%
38 NAYAGAM Nishant 7% 25% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
39 WANG Theodore - 5% 24% 39% 25% 6% -
40 GUERRA Corey 4% 18% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
41 EKONG-REID Severian 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
42 STEWART Samuel 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
43 KETT Richard - 4% 16% 31% 32% 15% 3%
44 ZHU Bob - - - 4% 19% 43% 34%
45 ORIE Sohan 1% 10% 29% 35% 20% 5% -
46 CHEN Brendan - 10% 31% 36% 19% 5% -
47 ROPER F. Elijah - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
48 TSAO Alister 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
49 SHAPIRO Leo 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 6% 1%
50 ZHANG Joseph 5% 25% 37% 24% 8% 1% -
51 LIANG Morgan - 5% 19% 33% 28% 12% 2%
52 LOO Jason - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
53 LIU Guanyu 1% 10% 25% 33% 22% 7% 1%
54 CHAVAN Aditya 10% 30% 35% 19% 6% 1% -
55 WANG Alex - 2% 13% 35% 38% 12%
56 ZHANG Simon 4% 22% 41% 26% 7% 1%
57 MARCELLINO Robert 7% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
58 PARK Inwoo - 2% 9% 25% 35% 23% 5%
59 MENZIES Liam 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
60 WU Vincent 5% 21% 33% 26% 11% 2% -
60 DEMERS Bodhi 5% 20% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
62 LEE Ryan 2% 12% 28% 33% 19% 6% 1%
63 MAGITSKY Isaac 19% 40% 29% 10% 2% - -
64 ROMBERG Sam 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 8% 1%
65 DAVID Ediel - 2% 9% 24% 35% 24% 6%
66 LI Michael 3% 14% 29% 31% 18% 5% 1%
67 SUN Stephen 5% 25% 39% 23% 6% 1% -
68 BENNETT Lachlan 17% 37% 31% 13% 3% - -
69 DAYAMA Ronak 4% 19% 32% 28% 13% 3% -
70 BANKO Ethan 33% 43% 20% 4% - - -
71 BARAVARIAN Cole 4% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
72 FREILICH Harrison 20% 45% 27% 6% 1% -
73 MENKEN Asher 30% 44% 21% 4% - -
74 TAKEBE Ren 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
75 SUBA Mason 3% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
76 DIAZ ORTIZ Kevin J - 3% 17% 38% 33% 9% 1%
77 CHIANG Ethan 4% 31% 39% 21% 5% 1% -
78 LEE Korbon 39% 41% 16% 3% - - -
79 LI Kent 15% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
80 MEISSNER Brodie 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
81 JIN Yubo 30% 42% 22% 6% 1% - -
82 KHAN Abdur-Rahman 26% 42% 25% 6% 1% - -
83 JANG Junyeong 7% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
84 LEE Ivan 15% 40% 32% 11% 2% - -
85 LEVIN Jacob 2% 12% 28% 33% 19% 6% 1%
86 SONG Ryan 20% 40% 28% 9% 2% - -
87 SOMANI Aarav 48% 39% 12% 2% - - -
88 RAGHUNANDAN Evan 75% 23% 2% - - - -
88 KHADAKBAN Soham 2% 23% 42% 27% 7% 1% -
88 RIJO HERNANDEZ Onexis D. 4% 28% 39% 22% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.