Trick or Retreat RJCC

Cadet Men's Saber

Sunday, November 2, 2025 at 12:00 PM

NJ Convention & Exposition Center - Edison, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LUCAS William 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 10%
2 SRIVATS Vedh 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 20%
3 MCDONALD Finn 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
3 JI Johnson 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
5 DAI Zihou 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 16%
6 BAI Evan 100% 100% 99% 95% 80% 48% 14%
7 PORTER Dupree 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
8 ZHAO Royce 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
9 LIU Marvin 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
10 BARENBOYM Michael 100% 100% 95% 74% 34% 6%
11 CIEMINS Henry 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 8%
12 WEI William 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 4%
13 BELAND Riley James "RJ" 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 19% 3%
14 SADHU Neiyam 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
14 LIU Ryan 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
16 ROSADO CRUZ Keviel 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 5% 1%
17 CLARK Aram 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 58%
18 SONG Aidan 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 4%
19 DOSTAL Maximilian 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 12% 1%
20 ZWAKA Jonas 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
21 CAI Jeff 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9%
22 LIEBOWITZ Carson 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 14% 2%
23 WASCO Andrew 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 4%
24 MEDVINSKY Daniel 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
25 KHOTLINE Daniel 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 7%
26 ARCHIBALD Zachary 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 9% 1%
27 HU Jayden 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 6% 1%
28 ORTIZ MATIAS Armando J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
29 LORENZ Evan 100% 99% 89% 65% 33% 10% 1%
29 HELD Lev 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 1%
31 ZHANG Ray 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
32 LIU Eric 100% 100% 96% 81% 52% 20% 3%
33 LI Cooper 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 26% 4%
34 CHANG Ethan 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 12% 1%
35 MARTINSON Torm 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 21% 2%
36 LAU Kyrus 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
37 DOMINIQUE Remson 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 34%
38 NAYAGAM Nishant 100% 93% 68% 34% 10% 2% -
39 WANG Theodore 100% 100% 95% 71% 32% 7% -
40 GUERRA Corey 100% 96% 79% 46% 17% 3% -
41 EKONG-REID Severian 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
42 STEWART Samuel 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
43 KETT Richard 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 18% 3%
44 ZHU Bob 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
45 ORIE Sohan 100% 99% 89% 60% 26% 6% -
46 CHEN Brendan 100% 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% -
47 ROPER F. Elijah 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
48 TSAO Alister 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 12% 1%
49 SHAPIRO Leo 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
50 ZHANG Joseph 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
51 LIANG Morgan 100% 100% 95% 75% 42% 14% 2%
52 LOO Jason 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
53 LIU Guanyu 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 8% 1%
54 CHAVAN Aditya 100% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
55 WANG Alex 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 12%
56 ZHANG Simon 100% 96% 74% 33% 7% 1%
57 MARCELLINO Robert 100% 93% 65% 28% 7% 1% -
58 PARK Inwoo 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 28% 5%
59 MENZIES Liam 100% 97% 81% 48% 18% 3% -
60 WU Vincent 100% 95% 73% 40% 13% 2% -
60 DEMERS Bodhi 100% 95% 76% 43% 16% 3% -
62 LEE Ryan 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 6% 1%
63 MAGITSKY Isaac 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% - -
64 ROMBERG Sam 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 9% 1%
65 DAVID Ediel 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 30% 6%
66 LI Michael 100% 97% 83% 54% 23% 6% 1%
67 SUN Stephen 100% 95% 69% 30% 7% 1% -
68 BENNETT Lachlan 100% 83% 46% 16% 3% - -
69 DAYAMA Ronak 100% 96% 77% 45% 17% 4% -
70 BANKO Ethan 100% 67% 24% 5% - - -
71 BARAVARIAN Cole 100% 96% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
72 FREILICH Harrison 100% 80% 35% 7% 1% -
73 MENKEN Asher 100% 70% 26% 4% - -
74 TAKEBE Ren 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
75 SUBA Mason 100% 97% 77% 42% 14% 2% -
76 DIAZ ORTIZ Kevin J 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 10% 1%
77 CHIANG Ethan 100% 96% 66% 26% 6% 1% -
78 LEE Korbon 100% 61% 20% 3% - - -
79 LI Kent 100% 85% 50% 17% 3% - -
80 MEISSNER Brodie 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
81 JIN Yubo 100% 70% 29% 6% 1% - -
82 KHAN Abdur-Rahman 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% - -
83 JANG Junyeong 100% 93% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
84 LEE Ivan 100% 85% 45% 13% 2% - -
85 LEVIN Jacob 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 6% 1%
86 SONG Ryan 100% 80% 39% 11% 2% - -
87 SOMANI Aarav 100% 52% 14% 2% - - -
88 RAGHUNANDAN Evan 100% 25% 3% - - - -
88 KHADAKBAN Soham 100% 98% 76% 34% 7% 1% -
88 RIJO HERNANDEZ Onexis D. 100% 96% 68% 29% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.