DMFC's 7th annual Jack-O-Lantern tournament (3-wea

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, November 2, 2025 at 12:00 PM

West Des Moines Christian Church - West Des Moines, IA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DERSHWITZ Philip C. - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
2 SANFORD Wesley 5% 22% 34% 26% 11% 2% -
3 WYCHULIS Tristan - 1% 11% 36% 39% 11% 1%
3 DAVIDSON Michael - - 3% 14% 33% 37% 13%
5 TIMMONS Sarah J. - - 3% 13% 32% 36% 16%
6 JOHNSTONE Mathew - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
7 MARTIN Malakai 6% 27% 39% 23% 4% - -
8 RHEA Evan 18% 37% 30% 12% 3% - -
9 THOMAS Andrew - 5% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1%
10 DAVIDSON Liam - 4% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2%
11 CONRAD Jack 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
12 LUNDSGAARD Emily 13% 50% 29% 7% 1% - -
13 FREED Debra 1% 13% 56% 26% 4% - -
14 PUCK Amy 6% 22% 33% 25% 11% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.