Headless Fencer Epee Round Robin

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, November 2, 2025 at 9:00 AM

Allez Fencing Club - Watertown, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
1 ROSE-JONES Simon 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 84% 59% 28% 6%
2 MELCHER Jack H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 84% 60% 28% 6%
3 ELBAG Mark H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 88% 69% 42% 18% 4% -
3 DJONOUMA Toyohm 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 90% 73% 45% 19% 5% 1% -
5 ZELIN Sam J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 90% 76% 54% 30% 12% 3% 1% - - -
6 WILSON Ian G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 86% 68% 43% 20% 6% 1% - - -
7 WESTEN Zachary (Zack) C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 30% 6%
8 ZHANG Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 94% 83% 63% 38% 18% 6% 1% - - - - -
9 OSHIMA Robert 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 89% 74% 51% 28% 12% 3% 1% - - - - - -
10 HAN Nathan 100% 100% 100% 97% 89% 71% 46% 23% 8% 2% - < 1% - - - - - - - - -
11 ZHANG Qing 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 88% 72% 50% 28% 12% 4% 1% - - - - - - -
12 MELCHER Charles 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 89% 73% 51% 28% 11% 3% 1% - - - - -
13 MARSHALL William L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 83% 64% 40% 18% 6% 1% - - - - -
14 HANNA Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 93% 80% 61% 38% 19% 7% 2% - - - - - - - - -
15 YAMAUCHI Corbin 100% 100% 100% 97% 88% 69% 44% 22% 8% 2% - - - - - - - - - - -
16 CHEN Yudian 100% 100% 98% 90% 74% 51% 28% 13% 5% 1% - - - - - - - - - - -
17 KOPPENHEFFER Rowan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 88% 72% 51% 28% 12% 4% 1% - - - - - -
18 CHUKWU Mark 100% 100% 98% 88% 64% 34% 13% 3% 1% - - - - - - - - - - - -
19 CHOY Ida 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 81% 59% 35% 17% 7% 2% - - - - - - - - - -
20 MAES Heather J. 100% 99% 90% 71% 45% 22% 8% 2% 1% - - - - - - - - - - - -
21 HANNA Richard 100% 99% 93% 78% 53% 29% 12% 4% 1% - - - - - - - - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.