FSU's 2nd Annual Fall Faceoff

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, November 8, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Leach Student Recreation Center - Tallahassee, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ELLIOTT Wyatt 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 79%
2 JOHNSTON Jacob 100% 100% 98% 72% 26% 3%
3 VAN NIMWEGEN Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
3 KNOX Aidan 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 8%
5 CARRIE Konnor 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 53%
6 MCFARLAND John G. 100% 100% 94% 59% 11% 1%
7 OLSON Clayton M. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
8 SEAMAN C. Scott (Scott) 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
9 MEILAN William 100% 100% 99% 92% 57% 13%
10 SHIVELY Cole T. 100% 100% 97% 78% 37% 6%
11 LEE Eunjae 100% 100% 100% 97% 75% 20%
12 WERTH Mario 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 16% 1%
13 HANNER Robert 100% 89% 53% 16% 2% - -
14 PHILLIPS Carson 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
15 HAAS Lindsey 100% 53% 14% 2% - -
16 ACCORNERO Aidan 100% 95% 73% 35% 8% 1%
17 RODDENBERRY Steven 100% 100% 99% 89% 52% 11%
18 COATES Gregory 100% 100% 96% 72% 28% 2%
19 DEMAREE Matthew 100% 99% 86% 53% 18% 2%
20 SUMMEY Travis 100% 92% 48% 10% 1% -
21 ABEL Nathanael 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
22 CHAILLOU Jonah 100% 88% 55% 20% 3% - -
23 GIGNILLIAT Ryker 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 9%
24 HUNTER James 100% 99% 82% 36% 5% -
25 FULLER Patrick 100% 55% 15% 2% - -
26 MOTT Tegan 100% 98% 79% 41% 10% 1%
27 DALY Daniel 100% 100% 95% 69% 26% 2%
28 BENJAMIN John 100% 89% 38% 6% - -
29 JACOBS Benjamin (Ben) W. 100% 99% 84% 45% 11% -
30 LE BLANC Anna 100% 81% 27% 3% - -
31 SOKOLOWSKI Olivia 100% 38% 6% - - -
32 NOLL Jack 100% 100% 84% 44% 11% 1%
33 LIN Sam 100% 94% 67% 30% 7% 1%
34 HERNDON Rylee 100% 71% 25% 3% - -
35 SAYER Laura 100% 37% 6% - - -
36 HURLEY Liam 100% 99% 80% 39% 10% 1% -
37 ROONEY Peyton 100% 95% 69% 28% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.