FSU's 2nd Annual Fall Faceoff

Div II Mixed Épée

Saturday, November 8, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Leach Student Recreation Center - Tallahassee, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 JOHNSTON Jacob - 4% 20% 39% 29% 7%
2 CARRIE Konnor - - 1% 10% 39% 50%
3 OLSON Clayton M. - 3% 16% 34% 34% 12%
3 RODDENBERRY Steven - - 5% 26% 53% 15%
5 ELLIOTT Wyatt - - - 2% 22% 76%
6 KNOX Aidan - 4% 26% 43% 23% 3%
7 MCFARLAND John G. - 1% 8% 34% 42% 16%
8 MEILAN William - - 5% 44% 44% 7%
9 WERTH Mario - 1% 7% 29% 43% 20%
10 JOHNSON Joshua - - 4% 19% 43% 34%
11 COATES Gregory 1% 10% 30% 39% 19% 1%
12 LE BLANC Anna 5% 27% 43% 22% 2% -
13 ACCORNERO Aidan - 3% 16% 35% 33% 12%
14 DALY Daniel 1% 10% 31% 39% 18% 1%
15 WYNN Paul - 2% 10% 31% 40% 18%
16 DEMAREE Matthew 6% 27% 40% 23% 5% -
17 FORD Tillman - 1% 8% 30% 42% 20%
18 MCCONNELL Aidan - 1% 7% 27% 44% 22%
19 HUNTER James 3% 19% 38% 30% 10% 1%
20 SUMMEY Travis 6% 26% 37% 24% 7% 1%
21 GIGNILLIAT Ryker 3% 18% 39% 30% 9% 1%
22 JACOBS Benjamin (Ben) W. 4% 24% 40% 25% 6% 1%
22 SOKOLOWSKI Olivia 23% 47% 26% 4% - -
22 CHAILLOU Jonah 11% 36% 36% 15% 2% -
25 HURLEY Liam 7% 54% 32% 7% 1% -
26 MOTT Tegan - 35% 43% 18% 3% -
27 BENJAMIN John 28% 44% 23% 5% - -
28 NOLL Jack 43% 41% 14% 2% - -
29 PHILLIPS Carson 4% 25% 43% 23% 5% -
30 ABEL Nathanael 3% 15% 33% 32% 15% 2%
31 HANNER Robert 13% 39% 35% 12% 2% -
32 LEE Eunjae 3% 19% 39% 31% 7% 1%
33 HAAS Lindsey 10% 38% 38% 13% 2% -
34 DEENEY Marian 16% 38% 33% 12% 2% -
35 SAYER Laura 66% 31% 2% - - -
36 HERNDON Rylee 36% 43% 17% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.