FSU's 2nd Annual Fall Faceoff

Div II Mixed Épée

Saturday, November 8, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Leach Student Recreation Center - Tallahassee, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 JOHNSTON Jacob 100% 100% 96% 75% 37% 7%
2 CARRIE Konnor 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
3 OLSON Clayton M. 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 12%
3 RODDENBERRY Steven 100% 100% 100% 95% 68% 15%
5 ELLIOTT Wyatt 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
6 KNOX Aidan 100% 100% 96% 70% 27% 3%
7 MCFARLAND John G. 100% 100% 99% 91% 58% 16%
8 MEILAN William 100% 100% 100% 95% 51% 7%
9 WERTH Mario 100% 100% 99% 93% 64% 20%
10 JOHNSON Joshua 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
11 COATES Gregory 100% 99% 89% 59% 20% 1%
12 LE BLANC Anna 100% 95% 68% 25% 2% -
13 ACCORNERO Aidan 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
14 DALY Daniel 100% 99% 89% 58% 19% 1%
15 WYNN Paul 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
16 DEMAREE Matthew 100% 94% 67% 27% 5% -
17 FORD Tillman 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
18 MCCONNELL Aidan 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 22%
19 HUNTER James 100% 97% 79% 41% 11% 1%
20 SUMMEY Travis 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1%
21 GIGNILLIAT Ryker 100% 97% 79% 40% 10% 1%
22 JACOBS Benjamin (Ben) W. 100% 96% 72% 32% 7% 1%
22 SOKOLOWSKI Olivia 100% 77% 30% 4% - -
22 CHAILLOU Jonah 100% 89% 53% 17% 2% -
25 HURLEY Liam 100% 93% 39% 7% 1% -
26 MOTT Tegan 100% 100% 65% 22% 4% -
27 BENJAMIN John 100% 72% 28% 5% - -
28 NOLL Jack 100% 57% 16% 2% - -
29 PHILLIPS Carson 100% 96% 71% 28% 5% -
30 ABEL Nathanael 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
31 HANNER Robert 100% 87% 49% 14% 2% -
32 LEE Eunjae 100% 97% 77% 39% 8% 1%
33 HAAS Lindsey 100% 90% 52% 15% 2% -
34 DEENEY Marian 100% 84% 47% 14% 2% -
35 SAYER Laura 100% 34% 2% - - -
36 HERNDON Rylee 100% 64% 20% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.