The Orange Blossom Classic SYC/RJCC/Y8

Y-14 Men's Épée

Saturday, November 8, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Caribe Royale Orlando - Orlando, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHAI Junqi 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 32%
2 CHEN Tianjun 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25%
3 KROPP Wesley 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 34%
3 LIU Austin 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 14%
5 MOORE Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 60%
6 CHEN Cameron 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
7 TANG Daniel 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 12%
8 MOSLEY Wally 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 12%
9 SHIM Jae 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
10 CHO Alex 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 47%
11 STRAFFORD Andrew 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 11%
12 CHEN Evan 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 7%
13 CHIANG William 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 13%
14 SCORDINSKY Liam 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 11%
15 PIMIENTO Tomas 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
16 ROFINO Samuel 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 8% -
17 MITTELSTAEDT Isaiah 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 42%
19 MORRISON Kieren 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% -
20 TUDELA Francisco 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 18%
21 WU Jiachen 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2%
22 LEE Lucas 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
23 KO Ethan 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% -
24 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 5% -
25 BEN-YOSEPH Rafael 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 2%
26 LIU Yihong 100% 98% 85% 51% 15% 1%
27 SHAPIRO Samuel 100% 98% 77% 32% 3%
28 CAVALLARO Sebastian 100% 98% 83% 45% 12% 1% -
29 KIM Aiden 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 3%
30 LI Nolan 100% 97% 74% 37% 11% 2% -
31 SHIM Jaeyoo 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
32 LAI Jayden 100% 95% 70% 33% 9% 1%
33 KIM Julian 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 17%
35 RICHMOND Ozan 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
36 PARK Ethan 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
37 CHEN Jayden A 100% 92% 62% 24% 4% -
38 HUR Tyson 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1%
39 YUE Bryan 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
40 GUJJA Rishabh 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
41 BEZAS Constantine 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 8% 1%
42 SCHLUBACH Jasper 100% 98% 82% 38% 4%
43 LEE Leo 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
44 PATEL Tej 100% 87% 44% 9% -
45 WONG Sebastian 100% 95% 68% 27% 5% -
46 CHA Aiden 100% 95% 72% 33% 6% -
47 CHEN Linus 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% -
48 ZHU Brady 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% -
49 GRAB Liam 100% 99% 88% 55% 18% 2% -
50 REYNOLDS CHANG Luke 100% 63% 20% 3% - -
51 KIM Louie 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
52 KIM William 100% 87% 46% 12% 2% -
53 CARCELLER Jeremias 100% 96% 73% 34% 7% 1%
54 MAXWELL Taiga 100% 88% 54% 17% 2% -
55 PATEL Yash 100% 83% 44% 12% 1% -
56 CHOPRA Vishnu 100% 99% 86% 50% 15% 2%
57 QU ethan 100% 85% 44% 12% 1% - -
58 MCGAHAN Cashton 100% 62% 19% 3% - - -
59 AUMSON Hubert 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% -
60 CHEN Regis 100% 82% 41% 10% 1% -
61 SMITH Theo 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% -
62 QIAN-LIU Zachary 100% 38% 7% 1% - - -
63 MITTELSTAEDT EJ 100% 65% 24% 5% 1% - -
64 TIRINKIAN Zareh 100% 48% 9% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.