Troy Cullen Memorial Halloween Open (W&M)

Senior Mixed Foil

Saturday, November 8, 2025 at 9:00 AM

William & Mary Adair Gym - Williamsburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SEMP Iain - 1% 10% 32% 42% 16%
2 BOUSTANY Marc - - 5% 26% 45% 24%
3 O'DONNELL Breck - - - - 12% 87%
3 NANAYAKKARA Dinuth 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 2%
5 HINDS David E. - - - 4% 32% 64%
6 SHANKS Aidan T. - - 3% 18% 48% 32%
7 FORMY DUVAL Christopher - - 5% 22% 43% 30%
8 POWERS Meredith R. - - 3% 24% 50% 23%
9 SMITH Finnley - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
10 ISAACSON Bjorn - - 4% 25% 52% 19%
11 BORAN Connor 6% 27% 40% 22% 4% -
12 SAE-TUNG Kevin 2% 23% 43% 25% 6% -
13 EDRALIN II Chadwick Q. - 3% 16% 39% 35% 8%
14 TSENG Lucas - 15% 41% 35% 9% -
15 DELANNES-MOLKA Daniel - 4% 15% 29% 31% 17% 4%
16 PRICE Owen - - 2% 16% 46% 36%
17 ALTON Abigail - 4% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
18 DEVINNEY Dale - 2% 15% 40% 39% 3%
19 SCHEURER Edwin 5% 23% 39% 26% 7% -
20 TERPENNING Sarah 7% 37% 40% 14% 2% -
21 SINGH Evangelina - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
22 EDELMAN Catherine 36% 44% 17% 3% - -
23 VOORHEES Owen 2% 23% 42% 27% 6% -
24 JONES Zamauri 9% 36% 41% 12% 1% -
25 CONRAD Matthew 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
26 GUARDIOLA Emily 13% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
27 FLEITAS Owen - 4% 26% 53% 16% 1%
28 LARSON Winston 8% 30% 39% 20% 3% -
29 SHANKS Jennifer 46% 41% 11% 1% - -
30 BLUHM Kyle 22% 41% 28% 8% 1% -
31 MONTESI Eric 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
32 BOZARTH Alex 4% 22% 38% 27% 7% 1%
33 FERGUSON Sam C. 1% 8% 34% 42% 15% 1%
34 FISHER Edward 7% 28% 39% 21% 4% -
35 MITCHELL Robert 41% 44% 13% 1% - -
36 ADAMSON Jack 1% 13% 37% 35% 13% 2%
37 BUMP Catalina 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% -
38 DEMPSEY Fiona 5% 27% 41% 22% 4% -
38 KELLEY Cullan 14% 38% 34% 12% 2% -
40 JACOFF Amelia 3% 23% 43% 26% 4% -
41 CRISPIN Haley 55% 38% 6% - - -
42 PROFFITT Benjamin 13% 37% 35% 13% 2% -
43 YEE Calvin 1% 11% 30% 34% 19% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.