Troy Cullen Memorial Halloween Open (W&M)

Senior Mixed Foil

Saturday, November 8, 2025 at 9:00 AM

William & Mary Adair Gym - Williamsburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SEMP Iain 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 16%
2 BOUSTANY Marc 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 24%
3 O'DONNELL Breck 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 87%
3 NANAYAKKARA Dinuth 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 2%
5 HINDS David E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 64%
6 SHANKS Aidan T. 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 32%
7 FORMY DUVAL Christopher 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
8 POWERS Meredith R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 73% 23%
9 SMITH Finnley 100% 100% 99% 96% 80% 47% 13%
10 ISAACSON Bjorn 100% 100% 100% 96% 72% 19%
11 BORAN Connor 100% 94% 66% 26% 4% -
12 SAE-TUNG Kevin 100% 98% 75% 32% 6% -
13 EDRALIN II Chadwick Q. 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 8%
14 TSENG Lucas 100% 100% 85% 44% 9% -
15 DELANNES-MOLKA Daniel 100% 100% 96% 81% 52% 21% 4%
16 PRICE Owen 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 36%
17 ALTON Abigail 100% 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 1%
18 DEVINNEY Dale 100% 100% 98% 83% 42% 3%
19 SCHEURER Edwin 100% 95% 72% 33% 7% -
20 TERPENNING Sarah 100% 93% 56% 16% 2% -
21 SINGH Evangelina 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
22 EDELMAN Catherine 100% 64% 20% 3% - -
23 VOORHEES Owen 100% 98% 75% 33% 6% -
24 JONES Zamauri 100% 91% 54% 13% 1% -
25 CONRAD Matthew 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 8% 1%
26 GUARDIOLA Emily 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
27 FLEITAS Owen 100% 100% 95% 70% 17% 1%
28 LARSON Winston 100% 92% 62% 23% 3% -
29 SHANKS Jennifer 100% 54% 12% 1% - -
30 BLUHM Kyle 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% -
31 MONTESI Eric 100% 98% 85% 54% 22% 4% -
32 BOZARTH Alex 100% 96% 73% 35% 8% 1%
33 FERGUSON Sam C. 100% 99% 91% 58% 16% 1%
34 FISHER Edward 100% 93% 65% 25% 4% -
35 MITCHELL Robert 100% 59% 15% 1% - -
36 ADAMSON Jack 100% 99% 86% 49% 14% 2%
37 BUMP Catalina 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% -
38 DEMPSEY Fiona 100% 95% 67% 26% 4% -
38 KELLEY Cullan 100% 86% 48% 14% 2% -
40 JACOFF Amelia 100% 97% 73% 30% 5% -
41 CRISPIN Haley 100% 45% 7% - - -
42 PROFFITT Benjamin 100% 87% 50% 15% 2% -
43 YEE Calvin 100% 99% 87% 58% 23% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.