William & Mary Adair Gym - Williamsburg, VA, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | LANG Kurt | V V V V V V | V V V V | 5.2 | 6 | +0.8 |
| 2 | FONG Henry | V V V D D | V V V V D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 3 | REHDER Silas | V D D D V V | V V V V D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 3 | MOORE Mary | D V V V V V | V V V D | 2.2 | 5 | +2.8 |
| 5 | BOZARTH Alex | V V V V V V | V V D | 4.5 | 6 | +1.5 |
| 6 | MILLER Luke | V V V V V D | V V D | 4.2 | 5 | +0.8 |
| 7 | PALPANDIAN Ilanchezhian | V V D V V | V V D | 2.0 | 4 | +2.0 |
| 8 | ABU-AJAJ Mohamed | D V V D V | V V V D | 1.8 | 3 | +1.2 |
| 9 | TANG Justin | V V V V | V D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 10 | HURST Palmer | V V V V V V | V D | 4.8 | 6 | +1.2 |
| 11 | MILLNER Brian | V V V D V V | V D | 4.2 | 5 | +0.8 |
| 12 | LEWIS Owen | D V D V | V D | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| 13 | KELLEY Nathan | D V V V D | V V D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 14 | REHDER Caleb | V D D V V | V V D | 4.0 | 3 | -1.0 |
| 15 | BADLANI Neel | D D D D D V | V V D | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| 16 | NANAYAKKARA Damin | D V D D D D | V V D | 1.3 | 1 | -0.3 |
| 17 | CARCATERRA Theodore | V V D V V V | D | 2.2 | 5 | +2.8 |
| 18 | PANE Patrick | V V V V D V | D | 2.7 | 5 | +2.3 |
| 19 | RAWSON Nicholas | V D V V V | D | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| 20 | CHAN Ian | V V V D | D | 1.7 | 3 | +1.3 |
| 21 | WASHINGTON Max | V V D V V | D | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| 22 | KELLEY Cullan | V D V V D V | D | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
| 23 | SWENSON Jason | V D V V D V | D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 24 | CASSIDY Leo | D V V V D | D | 2.0 | 3 | +1.0 |
| 25 | SHANKS Aidan T. | D V D V V D | V D | 4.8 | 3 | -1.8 |
| 26 | NGUYEN Ethan | D V V D D V | V D | 3.7 | 3 | -0.7 |
| 27 | CASTRO Ryan | D D V V V D | V D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 28 | HUANG Taohua | D D V D V V | V D | 3.8 | 3 | -0.8 |
| 30 | FEAGIN Patrick | V D V D D | V D | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| 31 | THOMPSON Grace | D D D D V V | V D | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| 32 | GRAMLICH Bradley | D D V V D D | V D | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| 33 | HUDSON Brian | V V D V D D | D | 4.5 | 3 | -1.5 |
| 34 | THOMPSON Josh | V D D V V D | D | 1.3 | 3 | +1.7 |
| 35 | RHEINECKER Eleanora Grace | V V D D D D | D | 2.0 | 2 | - |
| 36 | HEATH Sarah | D V D D V D | D | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| 37 | NANAYAKKARA Sanuthi | D D D D V | D | 0.3 | 1 | +0.7 |
| 38 | MEYER Maeve | D D V D | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 | |
| 39 | MUNDAY Arlie | V D D D D D | D | 2.9 | 1 | -1.9 |
| 40 | DUDEK Nicholas | D D V D D D | D | 3.8 | 1 | -2.8 |
| 41 | IYER Matthias | D D D D D D | D | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| 41 | LANIER Sawyer | D D D D D D | D | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
| 43 | CRAMER Jay | D D D D | D | 0.4 | 0 | -0.4 |
| 44 | JORDAN Olivia | D D D D D D | D | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
| 45 | JOHNSTON Ashlyn | D D D D D | D | 2.0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| 45 | GRIFFITH Riley | D D D D D | D | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.