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Event Results

Div III Mixed Épée

Troy Cullen Memorial Halloween Open (W&M)Surprise Map

Saturday, November 8, 2025 at 1:00 PM William & Mary Adair Gym · Williamsburg, VA, USA
46 finishers
Difficulty Upsets Pool Heatmap Strength
Birth year

Outcome Surprises

Legend

Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 LANG Kurt V V V V V V V V V V 5.2 6 +0.8
2 FONG Henry V V V D D V V V V D 2.4 3 +0.6
3 REHDER Silas V D D D V V V V V V D 3.0 3 -
3 MOORE Mary D V V V V V V V V D 2.2 5 +2.8
5 BOZARTH Alex V V V V V V V V D 4.5 6 +1.5
6 MILLER Luke V V V V V D V V D 4.2 5 +0.8
7 PALPANDIAN Ilanchezhian V V D V V V V D 2.0 4 +2.0
8 ABU-AJAJ Mohamed D V V D V V V V D 1.8 3 +1.2
9 TANG Justin V V V V V D 3.4 4 +0.6
10 HURST Palmer V V V V V V V D 4.8 6 +1.2
11 MILLNER Brian V V V D V V V D 4.2 5 +0.8
12 LEWIS Owen D V D V V D 2.7 2 -0.7
13 KELLEY Nathan D V V V D V V D 3.1 3 -0.1
14 REHDER Caleb V D D V V V V D 4.0 3 -1.0
15 BADLANI Neel D D D D D V V V D 1.2 1 -0.2
16 NANAYAKKARA Damin D V D D D D V V D 1.3 1 -0.3
17 CARCATERRA Theodore V V D V V V D 2.2 5 +2.8
18 PANE Patrick V V V V D V D 2.7 5 +2.3
19 RAWSON Nicholas V D V V V D 3.6 4 +0.4
20 CHAN Ian V V V D D 1.8 3 +1.2
21 WASHINGTON Max V V D V V D 3.8 4 +0.2
22 KELLEY Cullan V D V V D V D 3.7 4 +0.3
23 SWENSON Jason V D V V D V D 3.5 4 +0.5
24 CASSIDY Leo D V V V D D 2.0 3 +1.0
25 SHANKS Aidan T. D V D V V D V D 4.8 3 -1.8
26 NGUYEN Ethan D V V D D V V D 3.7 3 -0.7
27 CASTRO Ryan D D V V V D V D 2.6 3 +0.4
28 HUANG Taohua D D V D V V V D 3.8 3 -0.8
29 CONNORS Brady Missing ID 0.0 0 -
30 FEAGIN Patrick V D V D D V D 3.1 2 -1.1
31 THOMPSON Grace D D D D V V V D 2.6 2 -0.6
32 GRAMLICH Bradley D D V V D D V D 2.7 2 -0.7
33 HUDSON Brian V V D V D D D 4.5 3 -1.5
34 THOMPSON Josh V D D V V D D 1.3 3 +1.7
35 RHEINECKER Eleanora Grace V V D D D D D 2.0 2 -
36 HEATH Sarah D V D D V D D 2.5 2 -0.5
37 NANAYAKKARA Sanuthi D D D D V D 0.3 1 +0.7
38 MEYER Maeve D D V D 1.7 1 -0.7
39 MUNDAY Arlie V D D D D D D 2.9 1 -1.9
40 DUDEK Nicholas D D V D D D D 3.8 1 -2.8
41 IYER Matthias D D D D D D D 1.5 0 -1.5
41 LANIER Sawyer D D D D D D D 0.8 0 -0.8
43 CRAMER Jay D D D D D 0.4 0 -0.4
44 JORDAN Olivia D D D D D D D 1.8 0 -1.8
45 JOHNSTON Ashlyn D D D D D D 2.0 0 -2.0
45 GRIFFITH Riley D D D D D D 1.8 0 -1.8

Legend

Color Outcome Difficulty Win Probability
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%