Troy Cullen Memorial Halloween Open (W&M)

Div III Mixed Épée

Saturday, November 8, 2025 at 1:00 PM

William & Mary Adair Gym - Williamsburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LANG Kurt - - - 1% 13% 51% 35%
2 FONG Henry - 14% 43% 33% 9% 1%
3 REHDER Silas 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6% -
3 MOORE Mary 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
5 BOZARTH Alex - - 1% 11% 34% 39% 15%
6 MILLER Luke - - 2% 16% 44% 33% 5%
7 PALPANDIAN Ilanchezhian 5% 24% 39% 26% 6% -
8 ABU-AJAJ Mohamed 9% 31% 37% 19% 3% -
9 TANG Justin - 1% 8% 38% 53%
10 HURST Palmer - - - 6% 27% 45% 22%
11 MILLNER Brian - - 2% 18% 43% 31% 5%
12 LEWIS Owen - 5% 31% 49% 15%
13 KELLEY Nathan - 1% 21% 47% 27% 4%
14 REHDER Caleb - - 2% 21% 46% 30%
15 BADLANI Neel 22% 42% 27% 8% 1% - -
16 NANAYAKKARA Damin 19% 41% 30% 9% 1% - -
17 CARCATERRA Theodore 4% 20% 37% 29% 10% 1% -
18 PANE Patrick 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 4% -
19 RAWSON Nicholas - 1% 8% 33% 47% 11%
20 CHAN Ian 4% 36% 42% 16% 2%
21 WASHINGTON Max - 1% 7% 26% 41% 25%
22 KELLEY Cullan - 1% 9% 29% 39% 18% 3%
23 SWENSON Jason - - 7% 46% 40% 7% -
24 CASSIDY Leo 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
25 SHANKS Aidan T. - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 24%
26 NGUYEN Ethan - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
27 CASTRO Ryan 1% 14% 33% 33% 16% 4% -
28 HUANG Taohua - 2% 11% 26% 33% 22% 6%
30 FEAGIN Patrick 1% 5% 20% 36% 29% 9%
31 THOMPSON Grace 3% 14% 30% 31% 17% 4% -
32 GRAMLICH Bradley 1% 10% 30% 37% 19% 3% -
33 HUDSON Brian - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
34 THOMPSON Josh 16% 45% 30% 8% 1% - -
35 RHEINECKER Eleanora Grace 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
36 HEATH Sarah - 3% 55% 36% 6% - -
37 NANAYAKKARA Sanuthi 73% 24% 3% - - -
38 MEYER Maeve 6% 33% 47% 13% 1%
39 MUNDAY Arlie 1% 7% 26% 39% 23% 3% -
40 DUDEK Nicholas - 2% 11% 26% 34% 22% 6%
41 IYER Matthias 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
41 LANIER Sawyer 38% 43% 16% 2% - - -
43 CRAMER Jay 64% 31% 5% - -
44 JORDAN Olivia 10% 31% 35% 18% 4% - -
45 JOHNSTON Ashlyn 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1%
45 GRIFFITH Riley 4% 36% 42% 16% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.