Rain City Fall RYC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Saturday, November 8, 2025 at 12:00 PM

Rain City Fencing Center - Bellevue, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 ERPELDING Ryan 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 9%
2 WOLLOW Bennett 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5%
3 LUO Winston 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 5%
3 XIA Henson 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
6 CHEN Brandon 100% 88% 55% 20% 3% -
7 MOODY-FUENTES Nelson 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
8 CAI Lucas 100% 95% 71% 32% 7% -
9 ZHEN Felix 100% 97% 81% 45% 12% 1%
10 PETTY Eliot 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 31%
11 WANG Brendan 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
12 WANG William 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 14%
13 LUO Nathan 100% 86% 48% 15% 2% -
14 NGUYEN Asher 100% 86% 50% 16% 2% -
15 KIM ZOLLER Jude 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% -
17 MAGNAYE Jaezyn 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% -
19 GUI Kyle 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% -
19 LIU Nicholas 100% 100% 82% 43% 11% 1%
21 BATTEN Miles 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.